Opinion polling for the 2021 Japanese general election

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In the run up to the 2021 Japanese general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are displayed in this article. The date range for these opinion polls is from the previous general election, held on 22 October 2017 to 31 October 2021.

Graphical summary[edit]

The charts below depict party identification polling for the next Japanese general election using a 15-poll moving average.

  LDP
  CDP
  DP
  Kōmeitō
  JCP
  Nippon Ishin no Kai
  DPFP
  SDP
  LP
  Reiwa Shinsengumi
  Kibō no Tō
  N-Koku
  CDP
  DP
  Kōmeitō
  JCP
  Nippon Ishin no Kai
  DPFP
  SDP
  LP
  Reiwa Shinsengumi
  Kibō no Tō
  N-Koku

Party identification[edit]

2021[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP Kōmeitō JCP Ishin DPFP SDP Reiwa N-Koku Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 34.7 20.0 12.4 7.3 14.0 4.5 1.8 3.9 1.4 1.7 — — 14.7
23–24 Oct go2senkyo 32.2 14.8 6.1 4.9 6.9 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 32.2 Tied
22-24 Oct NHK 38.6 8.0 4.3 2.9 3.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 31.4 8.5 7.2
19–20 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 41 14 4 6 6 1 1 2 1 1 23 18
19–20 Oct Asahi Shimbun 34 7 4 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 34 13 Tied
16–17 Oct Kyodo News 49.1 10.4 3.1 4.7 4.3 18.8 30.3
16–17 Oct go2senkyo[a] 31.6 11.8 4.7 5.6 4.0 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.3 39.4 7.8
16–17 Oct ANN 49.9 12.1 4.1 4.4 2.3 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.8 23.6 26.3
15–17 Oct NHK 38.8 6.6 3.9 2.8 2.3 1.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.2 36.2 6.9 2.6
14–15 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 40 6 3 3 3 1 1 0 0 38 5 2
9–10 Oct Green Ship Archived 2021-10-17 at the Wayback Machine 42.92 13.73 4.82 5.62 4.96 23.23 19.7
9–10 Oct FNN-Sankei 45.3 6.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 37.1 2.1 8.2
9–10 Oct JNN 41.5 5.7 3.1 2.3 2.5 0.7 0.5 0.3 0 0.4 38.6 4.4 2.9
8–10 Oct NHK 41.2 6.1 4.1 2.7 1.8 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 36.1 6.2 5.1
4–5 Oct Asahi Shimbun 37 5 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 40 10 3
4–5 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 43 7 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 36 4 7
4–5 Oct Nikkei-TV Tokyo 51 8 4 5 3 1 27 24
4 Oct Fumio Kishida assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
23–25 Sep Nikkei 47 8 3 3 3 1 1 30 4 17
18–19 Sep ANN 49.4 9.9 4.2 4.1 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 26.7 22.7
18–19 Sep FNN-Sankei 43.5 6.9 3.2 2.1 1.6 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.4 34.5 6.5 9
18 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 37 10 4 4 5 1 2 34 3
10–13 Sep Jiji Press Archived 2021-10-07 at the Wayback Machine 26.5 3.0 5.0 2.2 1.7 0 0.2 0.2 0.2 59.0 32.5
11–12 Sep Asahi Shimbun 37 5 3 3 1 0 0 0 0 0 43 8 6
10–12 Sep NHK 37.6 5.5 3.6 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 40.2 7.4 2.6
9-11 Sep Nikkei 48 8 2 3 3 1 0 1 0 31 3 17
4–5 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 36 7 3 3 2 0 0 0 43 5 7
3 Sep Yoshihide Suga announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
28 Aug Mainichi Shimbun 26 10 3 5 8 1 2 42 16
21–22 Aug FNN-Sankei 35.6 6.6 3.5 2.4 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.2 44.6 4.2 9.0
21–22 Aug ANN 46.6 8.1 2.9 4.1 2.6 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.8 33.6 13.0
14–15 Aug go2senkyo[a] 29.1 11.1 4.1 5.6 3.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.0 44.5 15.4
7–9 Aug Yomiuri-NNN 32 5 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 49 17
7–9 Aug NHK 33.4 6.4 3.7 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.3 42.8 6.4 9.4
6–9 Aug Jiji Press Archived 2021-08-14 at the Wayback Machine 23.7 3.9 4.5 1.3 2.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 61.4 37.7
7–8 Aug Asahi Shimbun 32 6 2 3 1 1 0 0 0 0 47 8 15
7–8 Aug JNN 32.4 5.4 3.5 2.1 2.8 0.6 0.2 0.6 0 0.2 48.7 3.5 16.3
23–25 Jul Nikkei 38 9 4 4 4 1 35 3 3
17–18 Jul ANN 42.3 8.8 3.9 2.6 2.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.8 37.5 4.8
17–18 Jul FNN-Sankei 36.3 8.0 2.4 3.7 2.2 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.4 41.0 4.2 4.7
17 Jul Mainichi Shimbun 28 10 4 7 6 1 1 1 0 2 39 11
9–12 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2021-07-26 at the Wayback Machine 21.4 4.5 2.5 1.8 2.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 0.1 63.9 42.5
10–11 Jul go2senkyo[a] 28.6 12.0 4.5 7.1 3.2 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.1 41.8 13.2
9-11 Jul Yomiuri-NNN 36 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 43 5 7
9-11 Jul NHK 34.9 6.0 3.3 3.3 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.8 41.9 6.3 7.0
3–4 Jul JNN 33.6 6.1 3.5 3.4 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0 0.3 46.1 3.6 12.5
25–27 Jun Nikkei 43 8 3 4 4 1 1 0 0 — 31 4 12
19–20 Jun ANN 41.8 8.4 3.3 3.6 3.0 1.5 0.4 1.0 0.0 1.0 36.0 5.8
19–20 Jun FNN-Sankei 37.0 8.2 2.5 2.0 2.8 0.9 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 43.2 2.5 6.2
19–20 Jun Asahi Shimbun 31 6 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 45 8 14
19 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 30 10 4 6 6 1 — 2 40 — 10
11–14 Jun Jiji Press Archived 2021-07-11 at the Wayback Machine 22.8 2.9 3.7 1.7 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 63.2 40.4
12–13 Jun go2senkyo[a] 25.4 13.9 4.8 5.9 2.9 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 44.7 19.3
11–13 Jun NHK 35.8 6.4 3.5 2.8 2.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.5 0 40.6 7.4 4.8
5–6 Jun JNN 34.3 5.8 3.5 2.3 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.7 0.2 0.3 43.9 5.5 10.4
4–6 Jun Yomiuri-NNN 33 5 3 3 2 0 1 0 0 48 4 15
28–30 May Nikkei 42 8 4 3 4 0 0 1 0 — 33 5 9
15–16 May go2senkyo[a] 26.2 14.3 4.1 7.3 3.6 1.2 0.7 1.4 0.4 — 40.7 — 14.5
15–16 May FNN-Sankei 35.3 7.7 3.1 1.9 3 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 — 44.9 2.2 9.6
15–16 May ANN 44.9 12.2 2.6 3.7 2.8 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.5 1.2 30.3 14.6
15–16 May Asahi Shimbun 30 7 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 47 8 17
15–16 May Kyodo News 41.9 8.6 4.5 3.4 4.6 1.2 0.4 1 0.7 — 32.1 — 9.8
8–9 May JNN 37.2 6.0 3.8 2.2 2.0 1.1 0 0.1 0.1 1.0 42.4 4.3 5.2
7–10 May Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 21.4 4.4 2.6 1.5 1.9 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 — 64.8 — 43.4
7–9 May Yomiuri-NNN 37 7 2 2 2 1 0 0 1 44 4 7
7–9 May NHK 33.7 5.8 2.9 3.1 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.5 43.8 7.4 10.1
23–25 Apr Nikkei 47 9 3 3 4 1 1 1 0 0 29 3 18
18 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 31 11 4 4 8 1 0 2 1 1 36 — 5
17–18 Apr FNN-Sankei 39.2 5.5 3.2 2.9 3.3 0.7 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.2 38.7 4.2 0.5
17–18 Apr ANN 45.1 9.0 3.4 3.4 3.0 0.5 1.0 1 0.1 1.6 32.4 — 12.7
9–12 Apr Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 22.5 4.2 3.8 1.8 1.6 0.3 0.2 0.3 0 — 62.2 — 39.7
3 Mar – 12 Apr Asahi Shimbun 38 8 4 2 5 1 0 1 0 — 41 0 3
10–11 Apr Asahi Shimbun 35 6 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 43 8 8
9-11 Apr NHK[permanent dead link] 37.4 6.3 4.1 2.7 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.3 — 0.7 39.7 6.4 2.3
3–4 Apr JNN 35.6 4.9 3.1 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.5 47.0 3.6 11.4
2–4 Apr Yomiuri-NNN 39 5 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 1 43 4 4
26–28 Mar Nikkei 43 11 4 4 4 1 0 0 0 0 29 4 14
20–21 Mar Asahi Shimbun 33 5 3 2 2 1 1 0 0 0 46 7 13
20–21 Mar ANN 43.7 10.5 3.9 4.5 2.2 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 1.3 31.9 11.8
13–14 Mar FNN-Sankei 40.1 6.5 4.4 2.1 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.9 39.9 3 0.2
6–7 Mar JNN 38.3 4.8 2.0 2.4 3.1 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.3 41.4 5.5 3.1
5–8 Mar Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 23 4.8 3.5 1.7 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 62.4 — 39.4
5–7 Mar NHK 35.6 4.5 3.2 3.1 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 40.1 9.5 4.5
5–7 Mar Yomiuri-NNN 40 6 3 2 3 0 1 1 — 0 42 3 2
26–28 Feb Nikkei 45 11 2 5 3 1 1 27 4 18
20–21 Feb FNN-Sankei 38.6 8 2.6 2.3 3.9 1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.8 39.7 2.1 1.1
13–14 Feb Asahi Shimbun 33 7 4 3 2 1 — 0 0 0 44 6 11
13–14 Feb ANN 45.2 11.8 3.5 2.5 2.9 0.6 0.6 0.2 0 1.4 31.3 13.9
6–7 Feb JNN 36.7 6.2 3.7 2.4 3.1 0.7 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 42.3 3.2 5.6
5–7 Feb NHK 35.1 6.8 3 3 2.6 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 — 42.3 5.1 7.2
5–7 Feb Yomiuri-NNN 37 5 4 2 1 1 1 0 0 0 42 5 5
4–7 Feb Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-17 at the Wayback Machine 25.5 3.8 2.4 1.6 2.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 — 61.2 — 35.7
29–31 Jan Nikkei 44 9 5 5 3 1 30 2 14
23–24 Jan FNN-Sankei 39.1 8.9 3.6 2.5 4 0.9 0.3 0.9 0.5 0.4 38.5 0.3 0.6
16–17 Jan ANN 45.7 7.9 4.4 3.1 2.5 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.4 4.1 29.2 16.5
15–17 Jan Yomiuri-NNN 37 5 3 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 46 3 9
9-11 Jan NHK 37.8 6.6 3 2.9 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.5 40.5 6 2.7
8–11 Jan Jiji Press Archived 2021-02-13 at the Wayback Machine 23.7 3.1 3.9 1.7 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 — 62.8 — 39.1
9–10 Jan JNN 34.2 5.9 3.2 2.4 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 46.2 3.3 12.0
9–10 Jan Kyodo News 41.2 7.8 3.9 3.3 4.3 0.8 0.1 1.1 0.4 — 34.6 — 6.6
22 Oct 2017 2017 general election 33.3 19.9 12.5 7.9 6.1 17.4[b] 0.8 —[c] — 1.3 — — 13.4

2020[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP Kōmeitō JCP Ishin DPFP SDP Reiwa N-Koku Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
26–27 Dec Yomiuri-NNN 38 3 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 1 47 2 9
25–27 Dec Nikkei 42 9 3 3 4 1 1 33 3 9
19–20 Dec ANN 47 9.3 3.9 3.9 2.6 1.7 0.5 0.3 0 1 29.8 17.2
11–13 Dec NHK 38.2 5.1 3.4 2.2 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.2 39.4 7.6 1.2
4–7 Dec Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 24.7 4.1 3.3 1.5 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.2 — 60.3 35.6
5–6 Dec JNN 38.0 5.0 3.4 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 45.9 1.8 7.9
5–6 Dec Kyodo News 41.5 7.2 3.7 3.1 5.6 1.7 1 1.3 0.4 — 32.5 9
4–6 Dec Yomiuri-NNN 42 5 3 1 2 1 0 0 0 1 40 5 2
27–29 Nov Nikkei 49 6 3 3 4 1 1 1 30 2 19
15 Oct – 17 Nov Yomiuri-Waseda 40 6 4 2 5 0 0 1 1 0 40 2 Tied
14–15 Nov Asahi Shimbun 39 6 4 2 2 0 1 0 0 0 40 6 1
14–15 Nov ANN 48.2 9.2 3.3 3.3 3.7 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.4 28.7 19.5
6–9 Nov Jiji Press Archived 2020-11-18 at the Wayback Machine 25.7 4.1 2.6 1.5 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 — 61 35.3
7–8 Nov JNN 40.4 4.5 2.9 1.8 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 41.3 3.5 0.9
6–8 Nov NHK 36.8 4.9 3.6 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 40 9 3.2
6–8 Nov Yomiuri-NNN 48 4 3 2 3 1 0 0 — 1 36 2 12
23–25 Oct Nikkei 45 8 4 4 3 1 0 1 30 3 15
17–18 Oct Asahi Shimbun 39 6 3 3 2 0 0 0 0 0 41 6 2
17–18 Oct ANN 49.4 9 4.2 3.9 3.6 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.9 27.7 21.7
16–18 Oct Yomiuri-NNN 42 4 3 3 2 1 0 1 — 1 41 3 1
9–12 Oct Jiji Press Archived 2020-11-03 at the Wayback Machine 26.4 3.8 3 1.9 1 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.1 — 59.2 32.8
9-11 Oct NHK 37 5.8 3.2 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.4 — 0.1 40.3 8.5 3.3
3–4 Oct JNN 40.7 4.5 4.0 2.4 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.3 40.8 4.4 0.1
21–22 Sep NHK 40.8 6.2 3 1.7 1.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 40 6.4 0.8
19–20 Sep Yomiuri-NNN 47 4 3 2 2 1 0 0 — 0 37 3 10
19–20 Sep ANN 53.9 9.1 3.5 3.0 2.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 — 25.5 28.4
16–17 Sep Nikkei 52 7 4 3 3 1 1 1 24 4 28
16–17 Sep Asahi Shimbun 41 6 3 2 2 1 0 0 0 0 38 3
16 Sep Yoshihide Suga assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
15 Sep The Constitutional Democratic Party merges with the majority of the Democratic Party For the People as well as some independents.
5–6 Sep JNN 43.2 3.5 1.1 3.2 2.2 2.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.6 39.5 3.7 3.7
2–3 Sep Mainichi and JNN 40 3 3 3 3 1 0 0 0 1 41 8 1
28 Aug Shinzo Abe announces his intention to resign as Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
22–23 Aug ANN 42.8 7.7 3.9 3.4 4.8 1.7 0.5 0.7 0.0 2.1 32.4 10.4
1–2 Aug JNN 32.0 4.5 1.0 3.1 3.5 2.4 0.4 0.6 0.2 0.2 47.5 4.7 15.5
18–19 Jul ANN 40.3 8.7 4.9 3.6 3.6 1.7 0.3 1.2 0.1 1.7 33.9 6.4
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun 30 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 47 8 17
17–19 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 35 4 3 2 2 0 0 0 0 0 50 3 15
17–19 Jul Kyodo News 31.9 6.3 5.2 3.5 6.3 1.5 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.3 41.5 1.6 9.6
18–19 Jul Mainichi & SSRC 29 9 3 5 10 2 1 3 0 1 36 — 7
10–13 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-18 at the Wayback Machine 26.0 3.3 2.8 1.3 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.7 0.2 — 60.5 — 34.5
11–12 Jul go2senkyo & JX[a] 29.3 8.4 5.8 4.5 5.5 1.0 1.3 1.4 0.2 — 42.6 — 13.3
4–5 Jul JNN 35.8 5.1 3.5 2.4 3.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.4 1.0 42.9 3.6 7.1
3–5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 32 5 4 2 4 1 0 1 0 1 46 4 14
11–22 Jun Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-18 at the Wayback Machine[d] 33.9 7.2 4.3 2.2 5.9 1.2 1.1 1.5 0.4 — 40.8 — 6.9
20–21 Jun ANN 43.0 9.1 3.8 4.0 6.8 0.8 0.5 1.0 0.0 3.4 27.6 15.4
20–21 Jun Kyodo News 37.3 7.6 3.4 3.1 7.4 1.5 1.2 1.4 0.5 0.3 34.2 2.1 3.1
20–21 Jun Asahi Shimbun 29 5 3 3 4 1 0 1 0 0 46 8 17
20–20 Jun Mainichi & SSRC 31 10 4 6 11 2 1 3 1 1 30 — 1
13–14 Jun go2senkyo & JX[a] 29.2 13.0 4.2 4.4 5.4 1.5 1.0 1.2 0.2 — 39.8 — 10.6
6–7 Jun JNN 34.4 6.1 3.5 2.3 3.9 1.3 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 43.0 3.7 8.6
5–7 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 30 5 3 2 3 0 0 1 0 0 54 1 24
5–7 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 34 4 3 3 3 1 0 1 0 1 45 5 11
21 May – 1 Jun Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-04 at the Wayback Machine[d] 30.9 6.6 4.0 3.4 7.7 1.2 0.9 1.5 0.6 — 42.0 — 11.1
29–31 May Kyodo News 37.4 7.2 3.0 3.0 7.3 0.9 0.4 1.7 0.3 0.3 36.4 2.1 1.0
23–24 May Asahi Shimbun 26 5 4 3 4 1 1 0 0 1 48 7 22
23–24 May Mainichi & SSRC 25 12 4 7 11 1 1 1 1 1 36 — 11
16–17 May go2senkyo & JX[a] 28.8 12.7 4.3 5.4 6.8 0.7 0.9 1.2 0.3 — 39.1 — 10.3
16–17 May ANN 35.5 8.7 4.2 3.9 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.4 1.5 38.9 3.4
9–10 May JNN 35.9 6.1 4.4 2.3 3.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 40.7 5.5 4.8
8–10 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 34 3 3 1 4 0 1 1 0 0 50 2 16
8–10 May Kyodo News 35.1 6.9 5.3 3.2 8.7 1.2 0.7 1.5 0.2 0.4 35.5 1.3 0.4
8–10 May Yomiuri Shimbun 34 4 4 3 4 1 0 0 0 1 44 3 10
18–19 Apr Asahi Shimbun 33 5 5 2 3 1 1 1 0 0 43 6 10
18–19 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 29 5 5 2 6 1 1 1 1 1 43 — 14
10–13 Apr Kyodo News 33.1 7.7 3.4 3.7 5.3 1.1 0.9 2.2 0.4 0.2 39.3 2.7 6.2
4 Mar – 13 Apr Asahi Shimbun[d] 37 9 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 0 38 2 1
11–12 Apr go2senkyo & JX[a] 29.2 9.5 2.4 6.4 6.0 1.3 1.0 1.1 0.4 — 42.6 — 13.4
11–12 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 34 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 44 5 10
10–12 Apr NHK 33.3 4.0 3.3 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.7 45.3 7.3 12.0
8–9 Apr Mainichi, JNN, & SSRC 34 9 3 4 5 1 1 3 1 1 36 — 2
4–5 Apr JNN 34.3 5.0 4.2 3.3 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.6 41.8 4.4 7.5
27–29 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 37 8 4 3 3 1 1 1 0 0 38 3 1
26–28 Mar Kyodo News 37.0 7.4 3.6 3.3 5.0 1.0 0.7 1.8 0.9 0.0 36.8 2.4 0.2
21–22 Mar ANN[permanent dead link] 43.5 8.1 4.7 3.5 2.6 1.1 0.9 1.2 0.1 3.0 31.3 12.2
20–22 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 35 5 4 4 1 1 1 1 0 0 44 4 9
14–16 Mar Kyodo News 40.0 9.6 3.3 3.3 4.2 1.5 1.2 2.4 1.7 0.0 31.6 1.2 8.4
14–15 Mar Asahi Shimbun 36 6 3 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 40 9 4
14–15 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 33 9 4 4 4 1 0 1 1 1 40 — 7
6–9 Mar Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-22 at the Wayback Machine 24.0 3.5 3.5 1.6 1.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.1 — 62.4 — 38.4
7–8 Mar JNN 36.4 6.4 3.5 3.3 1.5 0.9 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.3 41.6 4.9 5.2
6–8 Mar NHK 36.5 6.3 3.0 3.1 1.3 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.2 41.5 6.0 5.0
29 Feb – 1 Mar go2senkyo & JX[a] 32.0 12.3 3.5 5.4 2.8 1.2 0.9 1.3 0.5 — 40.1 — 8.1
29 Feb – 1 Mar go2senkyo & JX[a] 31.6 12.1 3.5 5.3 2.8 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.4 1.5 39.5 — 7.9
21–23 Feb Nikkei & TV Tokyo 39 9 4 4 3 2 0 1 0 0 34 3 5
15–16 Feb go2senkyo & JX[a] 32.1 12.8 4.2 5.4 3.4 0.9 1.0 1.6 0.5 — 38.2 — 6.1
15–16 Feb Asahi Shimbun 34 6 3 3 2 2 0 1 0 0 39 10 5
15–16 Feb ANN Archived 2020-02-25 at the Wayback Machine 45.4 10.2 3.8 3.4 2.7 1.6 0.4 1.1 0.7 1.1 29.6 15.8
15–16 Feb Kyodo News 40.5 10.9 3.1 3.5 3.5 1.9 1.0 2.3 0.5 0.1 31.0 1.7 9.5
14–15 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-02-25 at the Wayback Machine 40 5 3 3 3 1 0 1 0 0 39 5 1
7–9 Feb NHK 37.4 6.0 4.0 2.6 1.4 1.0 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.2 38.0 7.4 0.6
6–9 Feb Jiji Press Archived 2020-02-28 at the Wayback Machine 24.3 5.6 2.8 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.9 0.2 — 60.6 — 36.3
1–2 Feb JNN 38.2 4.8 2.6 3.1 1.5 0.9 0.4 1.3 0.5 0.2 41.7 4.9 3.5
25–26 Jan Asahi Shimbun 34 7 4 3 1 1 0 1 0 0 37 12 3
24–26 Jan Nikkei & TV Tokyo 45 10 3 4 2 1 1 1 0 0 30 3 15
18–19 Jan ANN Archived 2020-02-16 at the Wayback Machine 45.0 8.2 4.4 4.1 2.7 2.0 0.8 1.2 0.2 1.6 29.8 15.2
18–19 Jan Mainichi Shimbun 34 8 2 2 3 2 1 1 1 1 40 — 6
17–19 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-02-16 at the Wayback Machine 41 7 3 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 39 3 2
11–13 Jan NHK 40.0 5.4 3.4 2.9 1.6 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 38.5 5.9 1.5
10–13 Jan Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 24.9 3.3 3.4 2.6 1.0 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 — 60.4 — 35.5
11–12 Jan go2senkyo & JX[a] 29.7 11.2 3.5 6.2 4.0 1.1 0.5 1.3 1.1 — 41.4 — 11.7
11–12 Jan JNN 38.6 5.8 3.8 2.8 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 0.3 38.9 4.6 0.3
11–12 Jan Kyodo News 43.2 6.9 2.9 4.1 4.4 1.6 1.1 2.4 0.7 0.0 31.5 1.2 11.7
22 Oct 2017 2017 general election 33.3 19.9 12.5 7.9 6.1 17.4[b] 0.8 —[c] — 1.3 — — 13.4

2019[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP DPFP Kibō Kōmeitō JCP Ishin SDP LP Reiwa N-Koku Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
21–22 Dec Asahi Shimbun 34 6 1 0 4 3 2 1 Did not exist 1 1 1 41 5 7
20–22 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 41 8 1 — 4 5 2 1 1 0 0 35 3 6
14–15 Dec go2senkyo & JX[a] 31.6 12.5 0.9 — 3.8 5.6 3.8 0.9 2.1 0.6 — 38.2 — 6.6
14–15 Dec ANN Archived 2019-12-28 at the Wayback Machine 45.6 9.8 1.3 — 2.8 5.1 1.6 0.5 2.0 0.2 0.8 30.3 15.3
14–15 Dec Kyodo News 36.0 10.8 1.5 — 4.7 3.0 3.3 0.8 4.5 1.5 0.3 31.8 1.8 4.2
13–15 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-12-28 at the Wayback Machine 37 6 0 — 3 3 1 0 1 0 0 44 3 7
6–9 Dec Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 23.0 3.8 0.6 — 3.5 2.0 2.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 — 61.1 — 38.1
9 Oct – 9 Dec Mainichi & SSRC[d] 38 9 1 — 4 3 4 0 2 1 1 36 — 2
7–8 Dec JNN 35.1 7.3 1.0 — 3.1 3.5 1.9 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.4 40.8 5.0 5.7
6–8 Dec NHK 36.1 5.5 0.9 — 2.7 3.0 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 41.4 7.4 5.3
30 Nov – 1 Dec Mainichi Shimbun 36 8 1 — 3 4 4 0 2 0 0 35 — 1
23–24 Nov Kyodo News 41.8 8.7 0.9 — 4.2 3.7 3.9 0.4 2.5 1.2 0.3 30.4 2.0 11.4
22–24 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 39 8 1 — 4 4 3 1 1 1 0 36 3 3
16–17 Nov Asahi Shimbun 36 7 1 0 3 4 2 1 1 0 1 37 7 1
15–17 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-11-27 at the Wayback Machine 37 7 1 — 4 4 1 0 2 1 0 38 4 1
9–10 Nov go2senkyo & JX[a] 35.5 12.5 1.3 — 4.3 4.4 3.2 0.9 1.0 0.8 — 36.3 — 0.8
9–10 Nov ANN Archived 2019-11-27 at the Wayback Machine 45.7 9.8 3.0 — 5.3 4.2 2.1 0.6 1.1 0.5 1.2 26.5 19.2
9–10 Nov JNN 38.2 6.3 1.0 — 4.7 2.5 2.8 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.3 37.2 5.2 1.0
8–10 Nov Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 30.1 3.1 0.2 — 3.7 2.0 1.3 0.6 0.6 0.2 — 55.5 — 25.4
8–10 Nov NHK 36.8 6.3 1.4 — 3.8 3.5 2.2 0.3 1.2 0.2 0.1 37.7 6.5 0.9
26–27 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 36 10 1 — 3 3 4 1 1 1 0 34 — 2
26–27 Oct Kyodo News 44.6 8.5 1.3 — 4.2 3.6 3.6 1.1 2.1 0.8 0.1 28.9 1.2 15.7
25–27 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 46 7 0 — 5 4 4 0 1 1 0 29 2 17
19–20 Oct Asahi Shimbun 35 6 1 0 5 2 2 0 1 1 1 39 7 4
19–20 Oct ANN Archived 2019-10-28 at the Wayback Machine 45.6 7.8 1.8 — 4.3 4.3 2.9 1.3 0.6 0.3 1.1 30.0 15.6
18–20 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-10-28 at the Wayback Machine 42 5 1 — 3 3 2 0 1 0 0 38 5 4
11–14 Oct Jiji Press 27.5 5.8 0.6 — 3.9 1.8 1.2 0.1 0.6 0.2 — 56.0 — 28.5
5–6 Oct JNN 40.1 8.1 1.8 — 3.5 2.9 3.1 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.6 34.2 4.2 5.9
5–6 Oct Kyodo News 42.1 8.0 1.6 — 3.8 3.0 4.7 0.7 2.1 1.2 0.0 31.9 0.9 10.2
14–15 Sep Asahi Shimbun 37 7 1 0 3 3 3 1 1 0 1 35 8 2
14–15 Sep ANN Archived 2019-10-28 at the Wayback Machine 46.9 7.0 1.7 — 5.4 5.2 4.3 0.5 1.1 0.7 1.1 26.1 20.8
14–15 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 34 8 1 — 5 2 5 0 2 1 1 36 — 2
13–15 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-14 at the Wayback Machine 38 5 1 — 5 4 2 0 1 1 0 39 4 1
11–12 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 47 7 1 — 4 3 2 1 2 1 0 29 3 18
11–12 Sep Kyodo News 47.7 10.0 1.5 — 3.3 3.1 2.8 0.9 3.4 1.1 0.1 23.9 2.2 23.8
6–9 Sep Jiji Press Archived 2020-03-15 at the Wayback Machine 25.9 4.1 0.6 — 3.5 2.0 1.8 0.5 0.8 0.5 — 58.5 — 32.6
7–8 Sep JNN 37.9 6.5 1.2 — 2.9 3.7 4.5 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 38.0 3.7 0.1
6–8 Sep NHK 37.3 7.2 0.7 — 2.6 3.4 3.2 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.7 37.1 6.9 0.2
30 Aug – 1 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 8 1 — 5 3 4 0 2 1 0 32 2 8
23–25 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-09-04 at the Wayback Machine 41 7 1 — 4 2 3 0 0 1 0 37 5 4
17–18 Aug ANN Archived 2019-08-19 at the Wayback Machine 44.3 10.0 2.1 — 3.9 4.5 5.4 1.0 0.8 0.9 1.1 26.0 18.3
17–18 Aug Kyodo News 40.9 10.0 1.4 — 5.1 4.3 3.8 0.7 4.3 1.3 0.2 26.6 1.4 14.3
9–12 Aug Jiji Press 28.0 5.8 0.6 — 4.1 2.1 2.2 0.4 1.0 0.4 — 53.4 — 25.4
3–4 Aug JNN 37.4 7.8 0.9 — 5.3 2.9 3.6 0.3 1.3 0.8 0.3 37.0 2.5 0.4
2–4 Aug NHK 36.1 7.2 1.5 — 4.0 3.0 3.8 0.8 1.2 0.2 0.2 34.8 7.1 1.3
26–28 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 37 11 1 — 4 5 5 1 2 1 1 30 2 7
22–23 Jul Asahi Shimbun 34 10 1 0 5 4 4 1 1 0 1 30 9 4
22–23 Jul Kyodo News 37.0 13.5 1.7 — 4.6 5.3 6.8 0.7 2.2 1.0 0.3 25.9 1.0 11.1
22–23 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-07-25 at the Wayback Machine 40 12 2 — 5 3 5 1 1 1 0 27 4 13
21 Jul House of Councillors election: Reiwa Shinsengumi and the NHK Party get status as parties.
13–15 Jul NHK 34.2 6.0 1.5 — 4.3 3.2 3.1 0.5 Did not exist — Did not exist 0.5 39.1 7.7 4.9
13–14 Jul Asahi Shimbun 34 6 1 0 4 5 2 1 1 1 33 12 1
5–8 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2020-03-16 at the Wayback Machine 25.8 3.9 0.6 — 4.1 2.6 1.8 0.3 — — 58.3 — 32.5
6–7 Jul JNN 40.0 6.8 1.5 — 4.5 2.7 3.4 0.5 — 0.7 33.5 6.5 6.5
5–7 Jul NHK 33.4 6.0 1.6 — 4.8 2.9 2.3 0.5 — 1.0 39.5 8.0 6.1
4–5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-07-09 at the Wayback Machine 38 6 1 — 4 3 3 1 — 0 37 7 1
28–30 Jun NHK 34.9 5.8 1.1 — 3.8 3.4 3.0 0.6 — 0.2 38.3 8.9 3.4
28–30 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 10 1 0 4 4 4 1 — 0 33 2 9
28–30 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-07-09 at the Wayback Machine 39 5 2 — 3 2 2 1 — 1 42 3 3
26–27 Jun Kyodo News 37.9 9.9 2.7 — 5.1 2.9 3.7 1.5 — 0.1 32.7 3.7 5.2
22–23 Jun Asahi Shimbun 37 5 1 0 3 3 2 0 0 1 38 10 1
21–23 Jun NHK 31.6 5.7 1.1 — 4.8 3.7 2.2 0.5 — 0.6 42.7 7.0 11.1
15–16 Jun Kyodo News 39.2 10.1 1.2 — 4.3 3.2 3.9 1.6 — 0.4 33.9 2.2 5.3
15–16 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 29 8 1 — 3 3 3 1 — 1 44 — 15
7–10 Jun Jiji Press 27.7 3.3 0.6 — 2.6 1.8 1.2 0.3 — — 59.4 — 31.7
7–9 Jun NHK 36.7 5.1 1.2 — 3.1 2.5 2.6 0.2 — 0.3 41.2 7.2 4.5
5 Jun Kibō no Tō loses its legal status as a political party and becomes a political organization.
1–2 Jun JNN 40.0 4.5 0.9 0.1 3.5 2.6 1.9 0.2 Did not exist — Did not exist 0.6 40.8 5.0 0.8
28 May Shigefumi Matsuzawa resigns as leader of Kibō no Tō; Nariaki Nakayama is elected as leader.
18–19 May ANN Archived 2019-06-01 at the Wayback Machine 45.0 9.9 1.7 0.0 5.5 3.4 3.9 1.1 Did not exist — Did not exist 1.3 28.2 16.8
18–19 May Asahi Shimbun 34 5 1 0 4 2 3 0 — 2 37 12 3
18–19 May Kyodo News 40.4 9.8 1.0 0.2 3.9 4.1 4.1 0.8 — 0.1 33.8 1.8 6.6
18–19 May Mainichi Shimbun 31 8 1 0 5 3 4 0 — 1 39 — 8
17–19 May Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-12 at the Wayback Machine 42 4 0 0 4 2 3 0 — 1 41 3 1
10–13 May Jiji Press 26.5 3.7 0.6 0.1 3.8 2.1 1.6 0.1 — — 59.6 — 33.1
11–12 May JNN 40.1 6.3 0.8 0.3 3.2 2.5 2.7 0.8 — 0.6 39.8 3.0 0.3
10–12 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 6 1 0 5 3 7 1 — 0 36 3 6
10–12 May NHK 35.2 4.8 0.7 0.0 3.1 3.2 2.9 0.6 — 0.6 40.2 8.8 5.0
1–2 May Kyodo News 40.9 7.8 0.9 0.1 4.2 2.3 4.3 0.3 — 0.2 37.6 1.4 3.3
26–28 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-02 at the Wayback Machine 40 4 1 0 3 3 4 0 — 0 40 5 Tied
26 Apr The Liberal Party is merged into the Democratic Party For the People.
20–21 Apr ANN Archived 2019-04-23 at the Wayback Machine 43.0 10.1 1.4 0.1 3.8 5.0 4.0 0.4 0.2 — Did not exist 1.2 30.8 12.2
6 Mar – 15 Apr Asahi Shimbun[d] 35 7 1 0 4 3 1 1 1 — 0 47 0 12
13–14 Apr Asahi Shimbun 35 7 1 0 3 3 2 1 0 — 1 38 9 3
13–14 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 30 8 1 0 4 4 3 1 0 — 2 42 — 12
5–8 Apr Jiji Press Archived 2019-04-12 at the Wayback Machine 26.7 4.3 0.6 0.1 3.9 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.2 — — 58.5 — 31.8
6–7 Apr JNN 40.2 4.7 1.4 0.0 3.8 2.8 2.1 0.8 0.2 — 0.4 39.6 4.2 0.6
5–7 Apr NHK 37.3 5.4 0.9 0.0 4.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.2 — 0.2 40.7 7.3 3.4
1–2 Apr Kyodo News 43.0 7.9 1.6 0.2 3.5 2.7 3.5 1.4 0.3 — 0.0 33.9 2.0 9.1
1–2 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-04-08 at the Wayback Machine 38 3 1 0 4 3 2 0 0 — 0 42 5 4
1 Apr Reiwa Shinsengumi is founded as a political organization.
22–24 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 43 7 0 0 3 5 3 0 0 Did not exist Did not exist 0 34 5 9
22–24 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-03-26 at the Wayback Machine 38 4 0 0 4 2 1 1 0 0 44 6 6
16–17 Mar ANN Archived 2019-03-25 at the Wayback Machine 45.7 10.3 1.5 0.0 4.7 4.4 1.1 0.6 0.7 1.0 30.0 15.7
16–17 Mar Asahi Shimbun 35 5 1 0 4 3 2 0 0 0 41 9 6
16–17 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 32 9 0 0 5 4 2 1 1 0 39 — 7
8–11 Mar Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 25.5 4.3 0.7 0.1 2.8 2.3 1.4 0.2 0.2 — 60.7 — 35.2
9–10 Mar Kyodo News 38.3 10.5 0.8 0.7 4.3 3.7 2.7 0.7 0.3 0.2 35.2 2.6 3.1
8–10 Mar NHK 36.7 5.5 1.0 0.1 3.4 2.8 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.1 40.6 7.6 3.9
2–3 Mar JNN 38.8 5.7 1.1 0.2 3.7 2.2 1.8 0.2 0.9 0.4 40.0 5.1 1.2
23–24 Feb ANN Archived 2019-03-06 at the Wayback Machine 44.2 9.9 0.8 0.0 4.5 4.6 1.6 1.4 0.2 0.2 32.6 11.6
22–24 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-13 at the Wayback Machine 35 6 0 0 3 2 1 1 0 0 47 5 12
16–17 Feb Asahi Shimbun 37 6 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 1 41 8 4
15–17 Feb Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 9 1 0 3 4 1 0 0 0 33 6 9
9–11 Feb NHK 37.1 5.7 0.6 0.0 3.3 3.1 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 41.5 6.7 4.4
8–11 Feb Jiji Press Archived 2019-02-16 at the Wayback Machine 25.4 3.4 0.3 0.1 3.3 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 — 61.5 — 36.1
2–3 Feb JNN 40.6 6.3 1.2 0.0 4.2 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.3 37.0 5.2 3.6
2–3 Feb Kyodo News 40.6 8.6 1.2 0.6 3.7 3.8 2.8 1.1 0.8 0.0 35.3 1.5 5.3
2–3 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 31 9 1 0 3 3 3 0 1 1 42 — 11
26–27 Jan ANN Archived 2019-01-28 at the Wayback Machine 43.6 7.1 1.2 0.2 5.1 4.1 1.4 1.4 0.5 0.2 35.2 8.4
25–27 Jan Nikkei & TV Tokyo 43 9 1 0 4 4 2 1 0 0 33 4 10
25–27 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-01-28 at the Wayback Machine 38 6 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 45 4 7
19–20 Jan Asahi Shimbun 38 7 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 38 9 Tied
12–14 Jan NHK 35.2 6.0 1.0 0.0 5.5 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 42.5 5.9 7.3
12–13 Jan JNN 37.8 5.2 0.6 0.0 3.4 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 43.5 4.8 5.7
12–13 Jan Kyodo News 36.0 9.2 1.4 0.0 2.8 2.4 2.4 0.4 0.6 0.0 43.5 1.3 7.5
11–14 Jan Jiji Press Archived 2019-01-21 at the Wayback Machine 26.7 4.2 0.2 0.2 2.8 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.0 — 60.0 — 33.3
22 Oct 2017 2017 general election 33.3 19.9 17.4 12.5 7.9 6.1 0.8 — — — 1.3 — — 13.4

2018[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP DPFP DP Kibō Kōmeitō JCP Ishin SDP LP Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
13 Nov – 25 Dec Asahi Shimbun[d] 37 8 1 Did not exist 0 3 3 1 1 1 0 42 3 5
15–16 Dec ANN Archived 2018-12-18 at the Wayback Machine 45.2 8.6 1.4 0.0 3.9 5.0 2.2 1.7 0.3 1.6 30.1 15.1
15–16 Dec Asahi Shimbun 35 8 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 41 7 6
15–16 Dec Kyodo News 38.6 11.5 1.4 0.2 3.8 3.4 1.4 0.5 0.8 0.1 36.1 2.2 2.5
15–16 Dec Mainichi Shimbun 29 10 1 0 4 3 2 0 1 0 43 — 14
14–16 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 38 9 1 0 4 4 2 1 0 0 37 3 1
14–16 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 34 8 1 0 4 3 1 0 0 0 46 3 12
7–10 Dec Jiji Press Archived 2018-12-18 at the Wayback Machine 21.3 4.6 1.0 0.2 3.4 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.1 — 65.1 — 43.8
17 Oct – 10 Dec Mainichi & SSRC[d] 32 7 1 0 2 3 2 0 0 0 50 — 18
8–9 Dec NHK 34.5 7.6 0.9 0.2 3.6 3.0 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 41.1 7.6 6.6
1–2 Dec JNN 39.0 6.4 1.0 0.1 3.2 2.2 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.9 41.4 4.1 2.4
23–25 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 9 1 0 4 3 1 0 0 0 38 4 2
23–25 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 41 7 0 0 4 2 1 0 0 0 42 3 1
17–18 Nov ANN Archived 2018-12-03 at the Wayback Machine 46.1 10.2 2.0 0.0 3.7 4.3 1.3 0.7 0.6 0.7 30.4 15.7
17–18 Nov Asahi Shimbun 36 7 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 41 7 5
17–18 Nov Mainichi Shimbun 29 12 1 0 5 3 2 0 0 1 41 — 12
9–12 Nov Jiji Press Archived 2018-12-09 at the Wayback Machine 26.8 4.3 0.6 0.1 4.0 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.2 — 58.3 — 31.5
9–11 Nov NHK 37.4 6.2 1.5 0.1 3.7 2.9 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 40.7 5.8 3.3
3–4 Nov JNN 37.3 4.9 1.2 0.5 4.3 3.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.3 44.0 3.0 6.7
3–4 Nov Kyodo News 45.2 9.1 1.3 0.3 5.3 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.8 0.0 30.2 1.5 15.0
26–28 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 9 1 0 4 4 1 0 0 0 36 5 4
26–28 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 37 5 1 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 46 2 9
20–21 Oct ANN Archived 2018-12-03 at the Wayback Machine 43.2 10.4 1.4 0.0 3.1 4.5 1.2 1.0 0.0 0.4 34.8 8.4
13–14 Oct Asahi Shimbun 37 6 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 40 11 3
13–14 Oct JNN 38.4 5.3 1.3 0.3 3.9 2.5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.5 42.0 3.7 3.6
6–8 Oct NHK 36.3 6.1 0.8 0.2 3.3 2.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.2 41.5 7.5 5.2
5–8 Oct Jiji Press Archived 2018-12-09 at the Wayback Machine 27.7 4.5 0.1 0.1 2.7 1.8 0.8 1.0 0.2 — 59.2 — 31.5
6–7 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 31 11 0 0 4 3 2 1 1 1 40 — 9
2–3 Oct Kyodo News 44.8 8.7 1.0 0.5 4.4 2.2 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.0 33.0 1.4 11.8
2–3 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 46 8 1 0 4 3 2 0 0 0 33 3 13
2–3 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 43 5 0 0 3 2 1 0 0 0 42 2 1
21–23 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 6 1 0 4 3 1 1 0 0 32 4 16
21–23 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 40 6 1 0 4 2 1 0 0 0 45 3 5
20–21 Sep Kyodo News 46.2 6.3 1.5 0.3 3.3 3.2 2.1 1.0 0.4 — 33.4 2.3 12.8
20 Sep Shinzō Abe wins the Liberal Democratic Party leadership election, securing a new 3-year term as leader of the party.
15–17 Sep NHK 35.8 4.8 0.7 Did not exist 0.1 4.1 3.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.2 43.0 7.4 7.2
15–16 Sep ANN Archived 2018-09-18 at the Wayback Machine 46.6 6.7 1.5 0.1 3.9 2.8 1.9 1.5 0.6 0.9 33.5 13.1
7–10 Sep Jiji Press 26.9 4.4 0.4 0.2 4.1 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 — 59.2 — 32.3
8–9 Sep Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 40 5 1 0 2 3 1 0 0 0 36 12 4
1–2 Sep JNN 30.5 5.5 0.5 0.0 1.8 2.8 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.8 54.2 2.2 23.7
1–2 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 33 9 1 0 3 3 1 1 1 0 40 — 7
25–26 Aug Kyodo News 43.8 8.8 1.5 0.7 2.3 3.2 2.6 1.3 0.8 32.8 11.0
24–26 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 45 10 1 0 3 3 1 1 0 33 3 12
24–26 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun 40 4 1 0 2 2 1 0 0 0 45 3 5
18–19 Aug ANN Archived 2018-08-26 at the Wayback Machine 44.0 10.7 0.7 0.1 3.8 5.6 1.6 0.7 0.1 0.7 32.0 12.0
3–6 Aug Jiji Press Archived 2018-08-11 at the Wayback Machine 27.1 4.6 0.5 0.0 3.3 2.3 0.9 0.3 0.2 — 58.9 — 31.8
4–5 Aug Asahi Shimbun 36 6 1 0 3 4 1 1 0 1 41 6 5
4–5 Aug JNN 31.7 7.5 0.5 0.2 3.4 1.8 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.8 50.7 1.1 19.0
3–5 Aug NHK 35.6 5.6 0.4 0.0 4.1 2.7 0.9 0.3 0.3 0.0 43.2 6.8 7.6
28–29 Jul Mainchi Shimbun 30 10 1 1 2 4 2 1 1 1 42 — 12
21–22 Jul ANN Archived 2018-07-25 at the Wayback Machine 42.1 13.1 1.4 0.1 4.3 3.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 1.1 32.3 9.8
21–22 Jul Kyodo News 41.6 12.4 0.9 0.4 2.9 3.0 2.1 0.5 0.5 32.8 8.8
21–22 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 41 8 0 0 3 3 1 1 0 0 41 2 Tied
20–22 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 38 12 1 0 3 4 2 1 0 0 36 4 2
14–15 Jul Asahi Shimbun 34 8 1 0 4 3 1 1 0 1 39 8 5
6–9 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine 25.4 4.7 0.6 0.2 3.7 2.1 1.1 1.0 0.0 — 58.2 — 32.8
7–8 Jul JNN 29.8 8.0 0.6 0.1 3.0 3.2 1.3 1.6 0.0 0.7 50.4 1.5 20.6
6–8 Jul NHK 38.1 7.5 0.7 0.1 2.7 3.1 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.2 39.1 7.0 1.0
23–24 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 30 11 0 0 4 2 2 1 0 1 41 — 11
22–24 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 44 9 0 0 4 4 1 1 0 0 30 6 14
16–17 Jun ANN Archived 2018-06-19 at the Wayback Machine 47.7 11.2 1.5 0.2 3.0 3.0 1.1 1.1 0.2 0.7 30.3 17.4
16–17 Jun Asahi Shimbun 34 9 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 1 40 8 6
15–17 Jun NTV Archived 2018-06-17 at the Wayback Machine 38.9 10.2 0.4 0.3 3.4 2.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 0.0 41.1 0.1 2.2
15–17 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 38 6 1 0 3 3 0 0 0 0 44 3 6
8–11 Jun Jiji Press 25.8 5.2 0.6 0.1 3.8 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.1 — 58.9 — 33.1
8–10 Jun NHK 35.8 8.9 1.1 0.0 2.4 4.1 0.7 1.2 0.0 0.2 38.2 7.4 2.4
2–3 Jun JNN 30.8 10.7 0.5 0.2 3.2 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.3 0.9 44.4 2.3 13.6
26–27 May Mainichi Shimbun 26 13 1 1 4 4 2 0 1 1 40 — 14
25–27 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 12 1 0 4 4 2 1 0 0 30 5 12
19–20 May ANN Archived 2018-05-23 at the Wayback Machine 41.4 15.2 1.5 0.7 4.1 5.7 1.6 1.3 0.4 1.2 26.9 3.5
19–20 May Asahi Shimbun 36 9 1 0 3 3 1 0 0 0 39 8 3
18–20 May NTV Archived 2018-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 36.7 12.2 0.5 0.4 3.7 3.2 1.4 1.2 0.5 0.3 39.8 0.3 3.1
18–20 May Yomiuri Shimbun 37 7 2 0 4 3 2 0 0 0 42 3 5
11–14 May Jiji Press 26.8 5.0 0.6 0.2 4.4 1.7 0.7 0.4 0.2 — 57.7 — 30.9
12–13 May JNN 30.4 8.3 0.8 0.3 3.7 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.1 0.9 49.1 1.9 18.7
12–13 May Kyodo News 37.1 13.3 1.1 0.7 3.7 4.5 1.5 0.8 0.7 34.2 2.9
11–13 May NHK 35.9 7.9 1.1 0.1 3.5 2.3 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 40.4 7.3 4.5
7 May The Democratic Party merges with a majority of Kibō no Tō members to form the Democratic Party For the People.[1]
27–29 Apr Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 14 Did not exist 1 0 3 3 2 0 0 0 32 4 8
14 Mar – 25 Apr Asahi Shimbun[d] 33 12 1 1 4 3 2 1 1 0 42 0 9
21–22 Apr ANN Archived 2018-04-25 at the Wayback Machine 37.6 13.6 2.9 0.4 3.1 4.1 1.9 1.6 0.5 0.2 34.1 3.5
21–22 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 29 13 1 1 3 3 2 1 0 2 40 — 11
20–22 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 37 10 2 1 2 3 1 0 0 0 40 3 3
14–15 Apr Asahi Shimbun 33 10 2 0 4 3 1 0 0 0 40 7 7
13–15 Apr NTV Archived 2018-04-15 at the Wayback Machine 33.4 9.5 1.2 0.7 4.0 3.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 44.4 0.0 1.0
6–9 Apr Jiji Press 25.3 5.1 0.7 0.4 3.9 2.4 1.0 0.7 0.0 — 58.3 — 33.0
7–8 Apr JNN 31.7 8.8 1.8 1.1 3.1 2.4 1.8 0.1 0.1 0.8 47.3 1.1 15.6
6–8 Apr NHK 35.4 8.5 1.4 0.3 3.5 2.9 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.2 39.2 7.0 3.8
31 Mar – 1 Apr Kyodo News 39.1 14.2 0.9 1.3 3.9 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.7 32.0 7.1
31 Mar – 1 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 36 9 1 0 3 2 1 1 0 0 41 4 5
24–25 Mar ANN Archived 2018-04-01 at the Wayback Machine 40.6 16.2 3.7 0.9 3.8 4.9 1.1 1.3 0.3 0.8 26.4 14.2
23–25 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 12 2 1 4 4 1 0 0 0 31 5 9
17–18 Mar Asahi Shimbun 32 11 1 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 36 12 4
17–18 Mar Kyodo News 36.2 11.5 2.8 1.0 3.2 2.9 3.1 1.1 0.4 36.5 0.3
17–18 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 29 13 1 1 3 4 2 39 — 10
16–18 Mar NTV Archived 2018-03-21 at the Wayback Machine 33.3 10.3 2.0 0.9 3.7 3.9 1.3 1.7 0.5 0.7 41.7 0.1 8.4
9–12 Mar Jiji Press Archived 2018-03-17 at the Wayback Machine 25.2 5.3 1.2 0.5 2.9 2.6 0.8 0.6 0.1 — 58.3 — 33.1
9–11 Mar NHK 36.3 10.2 1.2 0.6 3.1 2.6 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0 37.9 5.9 1.6
9–11 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 38 9 1 1 4 3 1 0 0 0 38 3 Tied
3–4 Mar JNN 30.3 11.4 1.1 0.8 3.8 3.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.1 44.9 1.7 14.6
3–4 Mar Kyodo News 39.5 11.1 1.4 1.6 3.7 3.7 2.6 0.3 0.6 34.1 5.4
24–25 Feb ANN Archived 2018-04-21 at the Wayback Machine 44.9 13.3 1.5 1.1 3.7 5.4 2.3 1.8 0.1 0.5 25.4 19.5
24–25 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 35 13 1 0 3 3 3 0 1 1 37 — 2
23–25 Feb Nikkei 42 11 2 1 4 2 3 1 31 4 11
17–18 Feb Asahi Shimbun 35 10 1 1 3 4 1 1 0 0 38 6 3
16–18 Feb NTV Archived 2018-02-20 at the Wayback Machine 36.7 11.1 2.3 1.2 4.1 4.0 1.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 37.3 0.4 0.6
10–12 Feb NHK 38.7 8.3 1.4 0.4 2.1 2.7 1.1 0.4 0.6 0.2 36.8 7.4 1.9
9–12 Feb Jiji Press 28.5 4.2 0.9 0.3 3.9 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.1 — 57.6 — 29.1
10–11 Feb Kyodo News Archived 2018-03-17 at the Wayback Machine 41.2 10.9 0.9 2.0 4.0 2.7 2.9 0.7 0.7 33.4 7.8
10–11 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 42 9 2 1 3 2 1 0 0 0 36 2 6
3–4 Feb JNN 32.9 10.6 1.0 0.8 3.4 2.8 1.8 0.3 0.3 0.9 43.3 1.8 10.4
26–28 Jan Nikkei 43 9 2 1 2 4 1 0 0 1 32 7 11
26–28 Jan NTV Archived 2018-01-28 at the Wayback Machine 31.5 13.0 1.4 1.0 3.8 2.8 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.8 41.8 0.5 10.3
20–21 Jan Asahi Shimbun 39 9 1 1 4 3 1 0 0 1 34 7 5
20–21 Jan ANN Archived 2018-01-23 at the Wayback Machine 42.3 16.6 3.0 1.2 3.6 4.8 2.0 0.9 0.2 1.1 24.3 18.0
20–21 Jan Mainichi Shimbun Archived 2018-08-17 at the Wayback Machine 30 14 0 2 3 4 2 0 1 0 37 — 7
12–15 Jan Jiji Press 28.1 6.2 0.8 0.6 3.4 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 — 56.0 — 27.9
13–14 Jan Kyodo News 38.4 12.7 1.3 1.2 2.8 3.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 35.4 1.3 3.0
13–14 Jan JNN 33.8 11.3 1.2 0.6 3.3 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.1 0.8 41.3 1.9 7.5
12–14 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 39 8 1 1 4 2 1 1 0 0 40 2 1
6–8 Jan NHK 38.1 9.2 1.3 1.0 2.4 3.6 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.4 36.6 6.2 1.5
22 Oct 2017 2017 general election 33.3 19.9 17.4 12.5 7.9 6.1 0.8 — 1.3 — — 13.4

2017[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP DP Kibō Kōmeitō JCP Ishin SDP LP Others No party Und./
no ans. 		Lead
16–17 Dec Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 36 9 1 1 3 3 1 0 0 0 36 10 Tied
15–17 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 40 10 1 1 3 4 2 1 0 0 33 4 7
15–17 Dec NTV Archived 2018-03-27 at the Wayback Machine 34.3 10.5 2.4 1.2 2.7 4.3 1.6 0.7 0.0 0.7 41.2 0.3 6.9
8–11 Dec Jiji Press Archived 2018-04-02 at the Wayback Machine 24.8 5.0 1.8 0.9 4.1 1.7 1.0 0.6 0.0 — 58.7 — 33.9
9–10 Dec ANN Archived 2018-03-19 at the Wayback Machine 42.3 14.5 2.7 1.8 5.3 3.9 2.3 0.4 0.4 0.0 26.4 15.9
8–10 Dec NHK 38.1 7.9 1.8 1.4 4.1 3.5 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 34.1 6.9 4.0
8–10 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 40 9 1 2 3 2 1 0 0 0 39 2 1
18 Oct – 6 Dec Mainichi & SSRC[d] 35 12 1 7 4 3 3 1 0 0 33 — 2
2–3 Dec Kyodo News 37.1 12.5 1.8 3.2 2.7 3.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 — 34.4 1.6 2.7
2–3 Dec JNN 35.7 9.8 1.2 1.0 3.1 3.7 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.9 41.3 1.4 5.6
24–26 Nov Nikkei 39 14 1 2 5 3 2 0 0 30 3 9
17–19 Nov NTV Archived 2017-12-01 at the Wayback Machine 32.8 10.4 1.0 2.7 3.8 3.6 2.7 1.0 0.3 0.7 41.1 0.0 8.3
10–13 Nov Jiji Press Archived 2017-12-01 at the Wayback Machine 27.9 5.4 1.2 1.5 3.6 1.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 — 55.0 — 27.1
11–12 Nov Mainichi Shimbun Archived 2017-11-19 at the Wayback Machine 34 14 0 4 4 3 2 0 0 1 34 — Tied
11–12 Nov Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 37 12 1 3 3 3 2 1 0 1 30 7 7
11–12 Nov JNN 35.6 11.0 1.9 3.4 4.0 3.4 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.3 34.9 1.6 0.7
10–12 Nov NHK 37.1 9.6 1.3 3.2 5.2 3.1 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.2 32.4 6.1 4.7
4–5 Nov ANN Archived 2017-11-07 at the Wayback Machine 43.7 19.9 2.2 4.4 4.3 6.1 2.7 0.8 0.3 0.3 15.3 23.8
1–2 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 44 14 1 4 5 4 3 0 0 0 23 2 21
1–2 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 42 14 2 5 3 3 2 0 0 0 25 3 17
23–24 Oct Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 39 17 0 3 4 3 2 1 0 0 21 10 18
23–24 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 43 14 1 5 4 3 2 1 0 0 24 3 19
22 Oct 2017 2017 general election 33.3 19.9 — 17.4 12.5 7.9 6.1 0.8 — 1.3 — — 13.4

Voting intention (party vote)[edit]

2021[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP NKP JCP Ishin DPFP SDP Reiwa N-Koku Oth./
WV 		Und./
no ans. 		Lead
31 Oct 2021 2021 general election 34.7 20.0 12.4 7.3 14.0 4.5 1.8 3.9 1.4 1.7 — 14.7
23–24 Oct go2senkyo 32.0 21.3 8.4 7.6 12.3 2.4 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.8 11.3 10.7
23–24 Oct Kyodo News Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback Machine 29.9 11.6 18.3
19–20 Oct Asahi Shimbun 38 13 7 5 4 2 1 1 1 2 23 25
16–17 Oct Kyodo News 29.6 9.7 4.7 4.8 3.9 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.1 39.4 19.9
16–17 Oct go2senkyo[a] 33.1 21.0 6.6 8.2 9.0 2.6 1.3 1.4 0.5 2.1 14.3 12.1
14–15 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 44 12 6 5 5 1 1 1 0 0 24 32
8–11 Oct Jiji Press Archived 2021-10-19 at the Wayback Machine 43.6 11.8 5.9 3.2 3.6 1.6 0.5 0.3 0.4 28.3 31.8
9–10 Oct Green Ship Archived 2021-10-19 at the Wayback Machine 36.3 19.0 6.3 7.3 7.9 2.1 1 2 1 1 16.9 17.3
9–10 Oct FNN-Sankei 39.1 9.5 3.6 3.2 3.4 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 4.1 35.0 29.6
9–10 Oct JNN 38.3 9.8 4.8 4.0 3.3 1.4 0.4 0.4 0.1 3.8 33.7 28.5
4–5 Oct Asahi Shimbun 41 13 5 4 6 2 1 1 1 2 24 28
4–5 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 48 13 5 3 5 1 0 1 0 1 24 35
4–5 Oct Kyodo News 44.6 14.9 5.8 2.8 7.1 29.7
4–5 Oct Nikkei 53 11 4 5 5 1 1 1 20 42
4 Oct Fumio Kishida assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
23–25 Sep Nikkei 52 10 4 4 6 1 1 2 20 42
18–19 Sep ANN 42.3 9.5 3.9 4.1 2.7 1.3 0.1 0.1 0 3.3 32.7 32.8
18–19 Sep FNN-Sankei 44.9 9.4 3.4 2.7 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.5 0.1 4.4 30.9 35.5
18 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 35 14 5 6 7 2 2 28 21
10–13 Sep Jiji Press Archived 2021-10-07 at the Wayback Machine 49.9 10.8 6.2 3.7 4.5 22.5 39.1
11–12 Sep Asahi Shimbun 43 11 6 6 6 2 1 1 0 2 22 32
9-11 Sep Nikkei 53 12 2 5 4 1 0 1 0 0 22 41
4–5 Sep Green Ship Archived 2021-10-19 at the Wayback Machine 36.9 7.2 2.8 4.0 5.5 1.1 0.5 2.0 0.2 1.1 38.8 29.7
4–5 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 42 11 4 5 4 1 1 1 0 0 31 31
3 Sep Yoshihide Suga announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
27–29 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 43 14 4 5 5 1 0 1 1 0 25 29
28 Aug Mainichi Shimbun 24 14 4 6 8 2 2 37 10
21–22 Aug ANN 32.8 8.7 3.2 3.9 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 3.6 43.1 24.1
21–22 Aug FNN-Sankei 35.6 9.8 4.1 3.7 4.6 1.2 0.4 0.7 0.5 4.5 35.0 25.8
14–15 Aug go2senkyo[a] 29.7 18.4 5.7 9.6 8.5 1.5 0.6 2.1 0.4 23.4 11.3
7–9 Aug Yomiuri-NNN 37 12 6 5 6 1 1 1 0 0 31 25
7–8 Aug Asahi Shimbun 35 15 5 6 7 3 0 1 1 1 26 20
17–18 Jul FNN-Sankei 32.3 10.8 3.1 4.6 2.8 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 8.6 35.6 21.5
10–11 Jul go2senkyo[a] 30.2 19.8 5.6 10.9 7.4 1.7 1.4 1.1 0.2 21.7 10.4
9-11 Jul Yomiuri-NNN 39 10 6 6 6 2 0 1 0 0 28 29
25–27 Jun Nikkei 41 14 4 4 7 1 1 2 — — 27 27
19–20 Jun FNN-Sankei 34.0 10.1 3.3 2.5 3.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.3 2.8 34.6 23.9
19–20 Jun Asahi 35 14 7 5 7 3 1 2 0 3 23 21
12–13 Jun go2senkyo[a] 29.1 21.1 6.3 9.4 6.9 1.7 0.9 1.8 0.3 — 22.6 8
15–16 May go2senkyo[a] 29.9 20.1 5.1 9.1 8.1 2.0 1.7 2.2 0.6 — 21.1 9.8
15–16 May FNN-Sankei 33 10.6 4.6 2.3 4.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.5 2.2 40.4 22.4
15–16 May Asahi Shimbun 35 17 5 5 9 2 1 1 1 2 22 18
3 Mar – 12 Apr Asahi Shimbun 46 16 6 5 10 2 1 1 1 2 20 30
10–11 Apr Asahi Shimbun 40 14 6 6 8 2 1 2 0 2 19 26
2–4 April Yomiuri-NNN 44 13 5 4 5 1 0 1 1 0 25 31
20–21 Mar Asahi Shimbun 41 14 5 5 8 2 1 2 0 2 20 27
13–14 Feb Asahi Shimbun 37 16 6 7 8 2 1 2 1 2 18 21
5–7 Feb Yomiuri-NNN 41 12 5 3 5 2 1 1 1 0 28 29
15–17 Jan Yomiuri-NNN 40 13 5 4 4 2 1 2 1 1 28 27

2020[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP Kōmeitō JCP Ishin DPFP SDP Reiwa Kibō N-Koku Oth./
WV 		Und./
no ans. 		Lead
25–27 Dec Nikkei 41 12 3 4 8 1 — 1 — 1 — 29 29
4–6 Dec Yomiuri-NNN 49 9 4 2 7 1 1 1 1 1 24 40
27–29 Nov Nikkei 48 10 4 3 7 2 1 2 1 — 22 38
14–15 Nov Asahi Shimbun 45 12 6 4 6 1 1 1 1 2 21 33
14–15 Nov ANN 40.9 10.4 3.8 3.5 3.8 0.6 1 0.6 0.2 1.6 33.6 30.5
6–8 Nov Yomiuri-NNN 54 8 5 4 6 1 0 1 1 0 20 46
17–18 Oct Asahi Shimbun 46 12 5 4 9 2 1 2 1 1 17 34
16–18 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 47 11 5 3 6 1 1 2 1 1 14 36
17–18 Oct ANN 40.1 9.3 4.2 3.8 3.8 0.7 0.3 0.5 0.1 2.0 35.2 30.8
19–20 Sep Yomiuri-NNN 55 8 6 3 6 1 0 1 0 — 20 47
19–20 Sep ANN 45.1 11.9 4.3 3.0 2.9 0.8 0.3 0.2 0 3.5 28 33.2
16–17 Sep Nikkei 54 10 4 2 6 1 1 2 1 — 18 44
16–17 Sep Asahi Shimbun 48 12 6 4 8 1 1 2 1 1.0 15 36
16 Sep Yoshihide Suga assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun 35 13 6 5 10 3 2 2 1 2 3 18 22
13–14 Jun go2senkyo[a] 30.6 18.4 5.3 7.8 12.5 2.2 1.6 3.1 — 0.6 — 17.8 12.2
4 Mar – 13 Apr Asahi 44 17 6 6 8 3 2 3 2 2 7 27
22 Oct 2017 2017 general election 33.3 19.9 12.5 7.9 6.1 N/A 0.8 —[c] 17.4 1.3 — — 13.4

Voting intention (District vote)[edit]

2021[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP Kōmeitō CDP JCP Ishin DPFP SDP Reiwa N-Koku Oth./
WV 		Und./
no ans. 		Lead
4–5 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 41 34 — 24 7

Preferred outcome[edit]

2021[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP re-election Change in government Evenly matched Government gains seats Opposition gains seats Neither / Same as now Und./
no ans.
23–24 Oct Kyodo News Archived 2021-10-29 at the Wayback Machine 34.6 11.4 49.4 – – – 4.6
22–24 Oct NHK – – – 24.1 30.5 38.5 6.8
19–20 Oct Asahi Shimbun 46 22 – – – – 32
16–17 Oct Kyodo News 36.3 13.9 45.2 – – – 4.6
16–17 Oct go2senkyo[a] 43.7 23.8 – – – 32.5
15–17 Oct NHK – – – 25.1 30.9 39.0 5.0
14–15 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 63 24 – – – – 13
9–10 Oct FNN-Sankei – – – 22.1 35.9 36.5 5.5
8–10 Oct NHK – – – 25.4 28.3 40.9 5.4
4–5 Oct Asahi Shimbun – – – 17 33 32 18
18–19 Sep ANN – – – 45 35 – 20
11–12 Sep Asahi Shimbun – – – 19 36 36 9
10–12 Sep NHK – – – 22 26 47 5
7–8 Aug Asahi Shimbun – – – 15 37 34 14

Seat projections[edit]

2021[edit]

Seat projections from analysts (district seats + proportional representation)
Analysts Publication/
Newspapers 		Fieldwork date LDP CDP Kōmeitō JCP Ishin DPFP SDP Reiwa N-Koku Ind./
Oth. 		Majority
Kaoru Matsuda Iza News 29 Oct 239 130 31 16 32 7 1 1 0 8 6
FNN-Sankei — 23–24 Oct 237 136 26 17 30 6 2 1 0 10 4
Asahi Shimbun 251–279 94–120 25–37 9–21 25–36 5–12 2 3 – 4–9 18–46
Kōichi Kakutani Shukan Asahi 19 Oct 243

(176+67)

137

(79+58)

29

(8+21)

19

(2+17)

19

(11+8)

8

(5+3)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

– 7 10
Tadaoki Nogami 239

(171+68)

137

(85+52)

29

(9+20)

18

(1+17)

23

(10+13)

10

(5+5)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

– 7 6
Takuma Ohamazaki — 18 Oct 236

(166+70)

133

(85+48)

29

(8+21)

17

(1+16)

30

(13+17)

9

(5+4)

1

(1+0)

– – 10 3
Hiroshi Miura Sports Hochi 261

(192+69)

109

(61+48)

32

(9+23)

14

(1+13)

25

(10+15)

12

(5+7)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

– 10 28
Koichi Kakutani Archived 2021-10-20 at the Wayback Machine Nikkan Sports 243

(176+67)

137

(79+58)

29

(8+21)

19

(2+17)

19

(11+8)

8

(5+3)

2

(1+1)

1

(0+1)

– 7 10
Kaoru Matsuda Archived 2021-10-20 at the Wayback Machine Yukan Fuji 14 Oct 244

(175+69)

128

(82+46)

29

(8+21)

17

(1+16)

27

(10+17)

10

(5+5)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

– 7 11
Masashi Kubota[2] Shukan Bunshun 244

(171+73)

115

(81+34)

33

(8+25)

17

(1+16)

26

(11+15)

12

(7+5)

2

(1+1)

5

(0+5)

– – 11
Tadaoki Nogami Archived 2021-10-20 at the Wayback Machine Shukan Post 12 Oct 239

(171+68)

136

(84+52)

28

(8+20)

18

(1+17)

22

(9+13)

10

(5+5)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

– 10 6
Hiroshi Miura[2] Sunday Mainichi 257

(191+66)

113

(64+49)

32

(9+23)

14

(1+13)

25

(10+15)

14

(5+9)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

– – 24
Seats before 276

(210+66)

110

(48+62)

29

(8+21)

12

(1+11)

10

(3+7)

8

(6+2)

1

(1+0)

1

(0+1)

1

(1+0)

9 43

Preferred Prime Minister[edit]

Note: Polls phrase this question as "Who should be leader of the LDP for the next term?" or "Who should be Prime Minister for the next term?", including Opposition Leader Yukio Edano only in the latter case. Because of this, some polls excluded Shinzō Abe (even while he was the incumbent), as he had already been elected as LDP leader three times, the maximum presently allowed under party rules.

2021[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP Others [e] NOT/
UD/NA
Yoshihide Suga Shinzo Abe Shigeru Ishiba Fumio Kishida Taro Kono Shinjirō Koizumi Seiko Noda Sanae Takaichi Yukio Edano
19–20 Oct Asahi Shimbun 54 14 32
4 Oct Fumio Kishida assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
23–25 Sep Nikkei 17 46 5 14 18
18–19 Sep ANN 18 48 7 10 17
18–19 Sep FNN-Sankei 15.2 52.6 6.4 11.6 14.2
18 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 13 43 6 15 23
17–18 Sep Kyodo News 18.5 48.6 3.3 15.7
10–13 Sep Jiji Press Archived 2021-10-07 at the Wayback Machine 14.3 31.6 7.2 0.9
11–12 Sep Asahi Shimbun 16 14 33 3 8 26
9-11 Sep Nikkei 6 17 14 27 10 2 7 1 16
4–5 Sep Kyodo 26.6 18.8 31.9 4.4 4.0 1.8
4–5 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 5 21 12 23 11 2 3 2 22
3 Sep Yoshihide Suga announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
27–29 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 11 7 16 13 16 9 2 3 2 22
26 Aug The dates for the LDP leadership election are formally set.
21–22 Aug FNN-Sankei 2.5 8.6 15.5 3.5 17.9 11.4 1.1 1.5 4.3 1.8 32
21–22 Aug ANN 8 8 19 5 15 11 2 3 3 26
7–9 Aug Yomiuri-NNN 3 10 19 4 18 17 2 2 24
7–8 Aug JNN 5 10 20 4 17 12 3 4 25
23–25 Jul Nikkei 5 6 19 4 19 12 2 4 3 26
17–18 Jul ANN 9 8 20 3 15 8 2 3 32
17–18 Jul FNN-Sankei 9.1 8.7 16 3.2 18.1 8.5 0.8 5.5 1.4 28.4
9-11 Jul Yomiuri-NNN 4 11 18 4 20 15 2 4 22
3–4 Jul JNN 8 12 16 3 18 12 2 2 27
25–27 Jun Nikkei 6 9 13 3 23 13 2 6 3 22
19–20 Jun FNN-Sankei 10.7 8.5 16.4 2.9 19.2 8.7 1.4 4.4 1.7 19
5–6 Jun JNN 7 12 17 5 19 12 2 2 24
28–30 May Nikkei 6 9 14 3 23 11 1 6 4 22
8–9 May JNN 8 11 16 4 22 12 2 3 22
7–9 May Yomiuri-NNN 4 11 19 2 23 13 2 3 22
23–25 Apr Nikkei 4 8 16 5 24 14 2 3 3 20
17–18 Apr ANN 9 7 17 4 20 11 2 4 26
3–4 Apr JNN 9 20 5 23 15 3 3 21
20–21 Mar ANN 9 7 18 3 21 11 2 3 26
6–7 Mar JNN 7 19 5 28 12 4 22
5–7 Mar Yomiuri-NNN 3 9 19 4 26 17 3 3 18
20–21 Feb FNN-Sankei 4.6 6.4 16.1 3.9 22.4 13.2 1.8 3.8 2.4 25.6
13–14 Feb ANN 8 6 17 4 22 13 3 2 25
6–7 Feb JNN 8 21 4 22 13 3 3 25
29–31 Jan Nikkei 6 7 16 3 25 13 2 5 2 19
9–10 Jan JNN 9 26 4 20 15 2 2 22

2020[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm LDP CDP Others [f] NOT/
UD/NA
Yoshihide Suga Shinzō Abe Shigeru Ishiba Fumio Kishida Tarō Kōno Shinjirō Koizumi Yukio Edano
5–6 Dec JNN 14 23 6 17 15 6 19
7–8 Nov JNN 16 20 6 18 14 6 21
3–4 Oct JNN 20 20 7 19 12 4 18
16 Sep Yoshihide Suga assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
5–6 Sep JNN 48 27 6 0 16
29–30 Aug Nikkei 11 28 6 15 14 3 0 21
28 Aug Shinzo Abe announces his intention to resign as Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
22–23 Aug ANN 4 11 27 4 9 15 2 28
15–16 Aug go2senkyo 5.4 14.6 26.2 3.8 13.0 10.0 4.5 22.5
1–2 Aug JNN 4 12 28 4 10 14 3 27
18–19 Jul ANN 3 13 29 4 7 13 3 28
17–19 Jul Nikkei 4 12 26 5 9 15 5 3 21
4–5 Jul JNN 4 14 33 5 10 12 2 21
20–21 Jun ANN 4 12 29 4 7 14 3 27
13–14 Jun go2senkyo[a] 3.7 18.4 29.6 4 5.8 9.4 6 23
6–7 Jun JNN 4 13 28 5 8 15 3 26
5–7 Jun Nikkei 3 14 23 4 8 15 6 2 24
23–24 May Asahi 3 31 4 9 15 7[g] 31
16–17 May ANN 3 11 25 4 7 14 5 31
9–10 May JNN 5 17 23 6 7 14 3 25
8–10 May Kyodo 1.5 15.5 12.7 2.6 4.4 8.4 3.4 2.2 49.3
10–13 Apr Kyodo 3.1 16.8 18 2.5 3.8 7.2 4.1 1.9 42.6
4 Mar – 13 Apr Asahi 6 24 6 7 13 6 0 38
10–13 Apr Kyodo 1.1 17.8 20.9 3.8 4.1 10.6 4 2.7 35
4–5 Apr JNN 4 14 25 5 7 16 4 25
27–29 Mar Nikkei 4 16 22 4 7 13 6 1 26
21–22 Mar ANN 4 16 28 6 6 11 3 26
7–8 Mar JNN 4 15 28 6 6 15 2 25
15–16 Feb Asahi 5 25 6 8 14 10[g] 32
15–16 Feb Kyodo 2.1 13.4 22.6 3.9 5.4 12 5.7 3.9 31
1–2 Feb JNN 6 16 24 6 8 14 3 24
18–19 Jan Mainichi 22 19 2 19 0 0
11–12 Jan Kyodo 4.5 13.1 18.2 3.5 6.9 11.8 4.6 1.1 36.3
11–12 Jan JNN 5 17 25 5 9 16 3 22

Cabinet approval/disapproval ratings[edit]

Graphical summary[edit]

2021[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
23–24 Oct go2senkyo Fumio Kishida 38.8 31.2 30
16–17 Oct go2senkyo[a] 38.5 27.0 34.5
16–17 Oct Kyodo News 55.9 32.8 11.3
16–17 Oct ANN 43.4 28.3 28.3
15–17 Oct NHK 45.6 27.9 26.5
9–10 Oct Green Ship Archived 2021-10-19 at the Wayback Machine 43.2 32.4 24.4
9–10 Oct FNN-Sankei 63.2 27.4 9.3
9–10 Oct JNN 58.6 34.8 6.6
8–10 Oct NHK 49.1 24.3 26.5
4–5 Oct Asahi Shimbun 45 20 35
4–5 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 56 27 18
4–5 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 49 40 11
4–5 Oct Kyodo News 55.7 23.7 20.6
4–5 Oct Nikkei-TV Tokyo 59 25 16
4 Oct Fumio Kishida assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
23–25 Sep Nikkei Yoshihide Suga 38 51 11
18–19 Sep ANN 29.4 49.6 21.0
18–19 Sep FNN-Sankei 42.3 52.2 5.5
18 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 37 55 8
10–13 Sep Jiji Press Archived 2021-10-07 at the Wayback Machine 33.4 47.5 19.1
11–12 Sep Asahi Shimbun 30 51 19
10–12 Sep NHK 30 50 20
9-11 Sep Nikkei 36 56 8
4–5 Sep Green Ship Archived 2021-10-19 at the Wayback Machine 34.6 54.1 11.3
4–5 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 31 57 12
3 Sep Yoshihide Suga announces he will not seek re-election as President of the LDP.
28 Aug Mainichi Shimbun Yoshihide Suga 26 66 8
27–29 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 34 56 10
21–22 Aug FNN-Sankei 32.1 61.3 6.6
21–22 Aug ANN 25.8 48.7 25.5
14–16 Aug Kyodo News Archived 2021-08-19 at the Wayback Machine 31.8 50.6 17.6
14–15 Aug go2senkyo[a] 26.3 49.9 23.9
7–9 Aug Yomiuri-NNN 35 54 10
7–9 Aug NHK 28.8 51.5 19.7
6–9 Aug Jiji Press Archived 2021-08-14 at the Wayback Machine 29.0 48.3 22.7
7–8 Aug Asahi Shimbun 28 53 19
7–8 Aug JNN 32.6 63.4 4.0
23–25 Jul Nikkei 34 57 9
17–18 Jul Kyodo News Archived 2021-08-19 at the Wayback Machine 35.9 49.8 14.3
17–18 Jul ANN 29.6 46.1 24.3
17–18 Jul Asahi Shimbun 31 49 20
17–18 Jul FNN-Sankei 39.0 55.5 5.5
17 Jul Mainichi Shimbun 30 62 9
9–12 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2021-07-26 at the Wayback Machine 29.3 49.8 20.9
10–11 Jul go2senkyo[a] 27.9 46.6 25.4
9-11 Jul Yomiuri-NNN 37 53 10
9-11 Jul NHK 33.3 46.0 20.8
3–4 Jul JNN 42.7 54.2 3.0
25–27 Jun Nikkei 43 50 7
19–20 Jun Kyodo News Archived 2021-08-19 at the Wayback Machine 44.0 42.2 13.8
19–20 Jun ANN 32.4 42.7 24.9
19–20 Jun FNN-Sankei 43.4 51.6 5
19–20 Jun Asahi Shimbun 34 42 24
19 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 34 55 11
11–14 Jun Jiji Press Archived 2021-07-11 at the Wayback Machine 33.1 44.2 22.7
12–13 Jun go2senkyo[a] 28.9 45.7 25.4
11–13 Jun NHK 36.7 44.8 18.5
5–6 Jun JNN 38.9 58.4 2.7
4–6 Jun Yomiuri-NNN 37 50 13
28–30 May Nikkei 40 50 10
22 May Mainichi Shimbun 31 59 10
15–16 May FNN-Sankei 43 52.8 4.2
15–16 May ANN 35.6 45.9 18.5
15–16 May Asahi Shimbun 33 47 20
15–16 May Kyodo News 41.1 47.3 11.6
7–10 May Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 32.2 44.6 23.2
8–9 May JNN 40 57 3
7–9 May Yomiuri-NNN 43 46 11
7–9 May NHK 35 43 22
23–25 Apr Nikkei 47 44 9
18 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 40 51 9
17–18 Apr FNN-Sankei 41.9 52.3 5.8
17–18 Apr ANN 36.2 37.4 26.4
9–12 Apr Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 36.6 37.7 25.7
3 Mar – 12 Apr Asahi Shimbun 42 48 10
10–11 Apr Asahi Shimbun 40 39 21
9-11 Apr NHK 43.9 38 18.1
3–4 Apr JNN 44.4 52.7 3.0
2–4 Apr Yomiuri-NNN 47 40 13
26–28 Mar Nikkei 45 46 9
20–21 Mar Asahi Shimbun 40 39 21
20–21 Mar Kyodo News 42.1 41.5 16.4
20–21 Mar ANN 36.6 38.7 24.7
13–14 Mar FNN-Sankei 51.4 42.8 5.8
5–8 Mar Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 35 41 24
6–7 Mar JNN 42.7 53.2 4.2
5–7 Mar NHK 40.3 36.5 23.2
5–7 Mar Yomiuri-NNN 48 42 10
26–28 Feb Nikkei 44 48 8
20–21 Feb FNN-Sankei 51.5 43.2 5.3
14 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 38 51 11
13–14 Feb Asahi Shimbun 34 43 23
13–14 Feb ANN 36.2 41 22.8
6–7 Feb JNN 40.8 55.9 3.3
5–7 Feb NHK 37.6 43.6 18.8
5–7 Feb Yomiuri-NNN 39 44 17
4–7 Feb Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-17 at the Wayback Machine 34.8 42.8 22.4
29–31 Jan Nikkei 43 50 7
23–24 Jan Asahi Shimbun 33 45 22
23–24 Jan FNN-Sankei 52.3 45 2.7
17 Jan Mainichi Shimbun 33 57 10
16–17 Jan ANN 34.8 42.5 22.7
15–17 Jan Yomiuri-NNN 39 49 12
9-11 Jan NHK 39.5 40.7 19.8
8–11 Jan Jiji Press Archived 2021-02-13 at the Wayback Machine 34.2 39.7 26.1
9–10 Jan Kyodo News 41.3 42.8 15.9
9–10 Jan JNN 41 55.9 3.1

2020[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
26–27 Dec Yomiuri-NNN Yoshihide Suga 45 43 12
25–27 Dec Nikkei 42 48 10
19–20 Dec Asahi Shimbun 39 35 26
19–20 Dec ANN 38.4 39.6 22
13 Dec Mainichi Shimbun 40 49 11
11–13 Dec NHK 42.4 36 21.6
4–7 Dec Jiji Press Archived 2021-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 43.1 26.6 30.3
5–6 Dec JNN 55.2 41.1 3.7
5–6 Dec Kyodo News 50.3 32.8 16.9
4–6 Dec Yomiuri-NNN 61 27 12
27–29 Nov Nikkei 58 32 10
15 Oct – 17 Nov Yomiuri-Waseda 66 20 14
14–15 Nov Asahi Shimbun 56 20 24
14–15 Nov ANN 55.9 22.5 21.6
6–9 Nov Jiji Press Archived 2020-11-18 at the Wayback Machine 48.3 19.6 32.1
8 Nov Mainichi Shimbun 57 36 7
7–8 Nov JNN 66.9 28.3 4.9
6–8 Nov NHK 55.6 19 25.4
6–8 Nov Yomiuri-NNN 69 22 9
23–25 Oct Nikkei 63 26 11
17–18 Oct Asahi Shimbun 53 22 25
17–18 Oct ANN 56.1 19.8 24.1
16–18 Oct Yomiuri-NNN 67 21 12
9–12 Oct Jiji Press Archived 2020-11-03 at the Wayback Machine 51.2 15.6 33.2
9-11 Oct NHK 55.1 19.5 25.4
3–4 Oct JNN 70.7 24.2 5.1
21–22 Sep NHK 62.4 12.8 24.7
19–20 Sep Yomiuri-NNN 74 14 12
19–20 Sep ANN 62.3 16.3 21.4
16–17 Sep Nikkei 74 17 9
16–17 Sep Asahi Shimbun 65 13 22
16 Sep Yoshihide Suga assumes office as the Prime Minister and President of the LDP..
28 Aug Shinzo Abe announces his intention to resign as Prime Minister and President of the LDP.
1–2 Aug JNN Shinzo Abe 35.5 62.2 2.4
18–19 Jul ANN 34.4 48.3 17.3
18–19 Jul Asahi Shimbun 33 50 17
17–19 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 43 50 7
17–19 Jul Kyodo News 38.8 48.5 12.7
18–19 Jul Mainichi & SSRC 32 60 8
10–13 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-18 at the Wayback Machine 35.1 46.2 18.7
11–12 Jul go2senkyo & JX[a] 26.3 48.2 25.5
4–5 Jul JNN 38.2 59.8 2
3–5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 39 52 9
11–22 Jun Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-18 at the Wayback Machine[d] 40.3 59.1 0.6
20–21 Jun ANN 33.7 49.6 16.7
20–21 Jun Kyodo News 36.7 49.7 13.6
20–21 Jun Asahi Shimbun 31 52 17
20–20 Jun Mainichi & SSRC 36 56 8
13–14 Jun go2senkyo & JX[a] 25 51.2 23.8
6–7 Jun JNN 39.1 59.2 1.7
5–7 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 38 51 11
5–7 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun 40 50 10
21 May – 1 Jun Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-04 at the Wayback Machine[d] 38.1 61.3 0.6
29–31 May Kyodo News 39.4 45.4 15.2
23–24 May Asahi Shimbun 29 52 19
23–24 May Mainichi & SSRC 27 64 9
16–17 May go2senkyo & JX[a] 24.9 48.8 26.3
16–17 May ANN 32.8 48.5 18.7
9–10 May JNN 47.3 50.8 1.9
8–10 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 49 42 9
8–10 May Kyodo News 41.7 43 15.3
8–10 May Yomiuri Shimbun 42 48 10
18–19 Apr Asahi Shimbun 41 41 18
18–19 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 41 42 17
10–13 Apr Kyodo News 40.4 43 16.6
4 Mar – 13 Apr Asahi Shimbun[d] 42 48 10
11–12 Apr go2senkyo & JX[a] 26.9 46.5 26.6
11–12 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 42 47 11
10–12 Apr NHK 39 37.9 23.1
8–9 Apr Mainichi, JNN, & SSRC 44 42 14
4–5 Apr JNN 43.3 52.7 4
27–29 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 42 10
26–28 Mar Kyodo News 45.5 38.8 15.7
21–22 Mar ANN[permanent dead link] 39.8 38.6 21.6
20–22 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 48 40 12
14–16 Mar Kyodo News 49.7 38.1 12.8
14–15 Mar Asahi Shimbun 41 38 21
14–15 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 43 38 19
6–9 Mar Jiji Press Archived 2020-07-22 at the Wayback Machine 39.3 38.8 21.9
7–8 Mar JNN 48.7 47.5 3.8
6–8 Mar NHK 42.7 40.6 16.7
29 Feb – 1 Mar go2senkyo & JX[a] 37.4 45.1 17.5
29 Feb – 1 Mar go2senkyo & JX[a] 42.2 47.9 9.9
21–23 Feb Nikkei & TV Tokyo 46 47 7
15–16 Feb go2senkyo & JX[a] 41.2 49.1 9.7
15–16 Feb Asahi Shimbun 39 40 21
15–16 Feb ANN Archived 2020-02-25 at the Wayback Machine 39.8 42.2 18
15–16 Feb Kyodo News 41 46.1 12.9
14–15 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-02-25 at the Wayback Machine 47 41 12
7–9 Feb NHK 44.6 37.4 18
6–9 Feb Jiji Press Archived 2020-02-28 at the Wayback Machine 38.6 39.8 21.6
1–2 Feb JNN 49.8 46.8 3.4
25–26 Jan Asahi Shimbun 38 41 21
24–26 Jan Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 45 7
18–19 Jan ANN Archived 2020-02-16 at the Wayback Machine 45.4 35.7 18.9
18–19 Jan Mainichi Shimbun 41 37 22
17–19 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-02-16 at the Wayback Machine 52 37 11
11–13 Jan NHK 43.5 37.7 18.8
10–13 Jan Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 40.4 37 22.6
11–12 Jan go2senkyo & JX[a] 43.9 43 13.1
11–12 Jan JNN 52.1 44.8 3.1
11–12 Jan Kyodo News 49.3 36.7 14

2019[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
21–22 Dec Asahi Shimbun Shinzo Abe 38 42 20
20–22 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 50 41 9
14–15 Dec go2senkyo & JX[a] 44.03 45.12 10.86
14–15 Dec ANN Archived 2019-12-28 at the Wayback Machine 40.9 40.6 18.5
14–15 Dec Kyodo News 42.7 43.0 14.3
13–15 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-12-28 at the Wayback Machine 48 40 12
6–9 Dec Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 40.6 35.3 24.1
9 Oct – 9 Dec Mainichi & SSRC[d] 44 35 19
7–8 Dec JNN 49.1 47.7 3.1
6–8 Dec NHK 44.5 36.6 18.9
30 Nov – 1 Dec Mainichi Shimbun 42 35 21
23–24 Nov Kyodo News 48.7 38.1 13.2
22–24 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 50 40 9
16–17 Nov Asahi Shimbun 44 36 20
15–17 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-11-27 at the Wayback Machine 49 36 15
9–10 Nov go2senkyo & JX[a] 42.88 33.75 23.38
9–10 Nov ANN Archived 2019-11-27 at the Wayback Machine 44.4 34.3 21.3
9–10 Nov JNN 54.3 42.4 3.3
8–10 Nov Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 48.5 29.4 22.1
8–10 Nov NHK 47.4 34.6 18.0
26–27 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 48 30 19
26–27 Oct Kyodo News 54.1 34.5 11.4
25–27 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 57 36 8
19–20 Oct Asahi Shimbun 45 32 23
19–20 Oct ANN Archived 2019-10-28 at the Wayback Machine 45.4 33.6 21.0
18–20 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-10-28 at the Wayback Machine 55 34 11
11–14 Oct Jiji Press 44.2 33.0 22.8
5–6 Oct JNN 54.9 42.4 2.7
5–6 Oct Kyodo News 53.0 34.2 12.8
14–15 Sep Asahi Shimbun 48 31 21
14–15 Sep ANN Archived 2019-10-28 at the Wayback Machine 52.0 27.9 20.1
14–15 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 50 28 21
13–15 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-14 at the Wayback Machine 53 35 11
11–12 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 59 33 8
11–12 Sep Kyodo News 55.4 25.7 18.9
6–9 Sep Jiji Press Archived 2020-03-15 at the Wayback Machine 43.1 34.1 22.8
7–8 Sep JNN 57.0 38.7 4.2
6–8 Sep NHK 47.5 32.6 19.9
30 Aug – 1 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 58 33 9
23–25 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-09-04 at the Wayback Machine 58 30 12
17–18 Aug ANN Archived 2019-08-19 at the Wayback Machine 48.1 32.4 19.5
17–18 Aug Kyodo News 50.3 34.6 15.1
9–12 Aug Jiji Press 47.0 30.8 22.2
3–4 Aug JNN 60.1 37.0 2.8
2–4 Aug NHK 48.5 30.8 20.7
26–28 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 52 38 10
22–23 Jul Asahi Shimbun 42 35 23
22–23 Jul Kyodo News 48.6 38.2 13.2
22–23 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-07-25 at the Wayback Machine 53 36 11
21 Jul House of Councillors election
13–15 Jul NHK Shinzo Abe 45 33 22
13–14 Jul Asahi Shimbun 42 34 24
5–8 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2020-03-16 at the Wayback Machine 43.1 31.0 25.9
6–7 Jul JNN 58.7 36.9 4.4
5–7 Jul NHK 45.4 33.2 21.5
4–5 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-07-09 at the Wayback Machine 51 33 16
28–30 Jun NHK 45 31 24
28–30 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 56 36 8
28–30 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-07-09 at the Wayback Machine 53 36 10
26–27 Jun Kyodo News 47.6 44.1 8.3
22–23 Jun Asahi Shimbun 45 33 22
21–23 Jun NHK 42 34 24
15–16 Jun Kyodo News 47.6 38.1 14.3
15–16 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 40 37 21
7–10 Jun Jiji Press 44.9 31.5 23.6
7–9 Jun NHK 47.9 32.0 20.0
1–2 Jun JNN 59.1 36.9 3.9
18–19 May ANN Archived 2019-06-01 at the Wayback Machine 47.0 32.5 20.5
18–19 May Asahi Shimbun 45 32 23
18–19 May Kyodo News 50.5 36.2 13.3
18–19 May Mainichi Shimbun 43 31 23
17–19 May Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-12 at the Wayback Machine 55 32 12
10–13 May Jiji Press 44.7 31.1 24.2
11–12 May JNN 57.4 40.3 2.4
10–12 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 55 35 10
10–12 May NHK 47.6 32.3 20.1
1–2 May Kyodo News 51.9 31.3 16.8
26–28 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-02 at the Wayback Machine 54 31 14
20–21 Apr ANN Archived 2019-04-23 at the Wayback Machine 45.0 33.0 22.0
6 Mar – 15 Apr Asahi Shimbun[d] 43 45 12
13–14 Apr Asahi Shimbun 44 32 24
13–14 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 41 37 21
5–8 Apr Jiji Press Archived 2019-04-12 at the Wayback Machine 43.0 34.3 22.7
6–7 Apr JNN 53.4 43.4 3.2
5–7 Apr NHK 47.4 34.6 18.1
1–2 Apr Kyodo News 52.8 32.4 14.8
1–2 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-04-08 at the Wayback Machine 53 32 14
22–24 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 42 10
22–24 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-03-26 at the Wayback Machine 50 35 15
16–17 Mar ANN Archived 2019-03-25 at the Wayback Machine 43.2 36.1 20.7
16–17 Mar Asahi Shimbun 41 37 22
16–17 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 39 41 19
8–11 Mar Jiji Press[permanent dead link] 39.0 36.4 24.6
9–10 Mar Kyodo News 43.3 40.9 15.8
8–10 Mar NHK 42.0 36.0 22.0
2–3 Mar JNN 52.3 44.3 3.4
23–24 Feb ANN Archived 2019-03-06 at the Wayback Machine 41.8 36.7 21.5
22–24 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2020-03-13 at the Wayback Machine 49 40 11
16–17 Feb Asahi Shimbun 41 38 21
15–17 Feb Nikkei & TV Tokyo 51 42 7
9–11 Feb NHK 43.7 37.4 18.9
8–11 Feb Jiji Press Archived 2019-02-16 at the Wayback Machine 42.4 34.5 23.1
2–3 Feb JNN 52.8 44.3 2.9
2–3 Feb Kyodo News 45.6 41.1 13.3
2–3 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 38 39 22
26–27 Jan ANN Archived 2019-01-28 at the Wayback Machine 41.0 37.9 21.1
25–27 Jan Nikkei & TV Tokyo 53 37 10
25–27 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2019-01-28 at the Wayback Machine 49 38 13
19–20 Jan Asahi Shimbun 43 38 19
12–14 Jan NHK 42.5 35.1 22.5
12–13 Jan JNN 50.8 45.5 3.6
12–13 Jan Kyodo News 43.4 42.3 14.3
11–14 Jan Jiji Press Archived 2019-01-21 at the Wayback Machine 43.5 35.1 21.4

2018[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
13 Nov – 25 Dec Asahi Shimbun[d] Shinzo Abe 46 46 8
15–16 Dec ANN Archived 2018-12-18 at the Wayback Machine 40.0 40.6 19.4
15–16 Dec Asahi Shimbun 40 41 19
15–16 Dec Kyodo News 42.4 44.1 13.5
15–16 Dec Mainichi Shimbun 37 40 21
14–16 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 47 44 9
14–16 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 47 43 10
7–10 Dec Jiji Press Archived 2018-12-18 at the Wayback Machine 38.9 38.7 22.4
17 Oct – 10 Dec Mainichi & SSRC[d] 31 42 24
8–9 Dec NHK 41.3 37.8 20.9
1–2 Dec JNN 52.8 44.3 2.9
24 Oct – 30 Nov Nikkei[d] 35 33 32
23–25 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 51 38 11
23–25 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 53 36 11
17–18 Nov ANN Archived 2018-12-03 at the Wayback Machine 44.3 36.4 19.3
17–18 Nov Asahi Shimbun 43 34 23
17–18 Nov Mainichi Shimbun 41 38 20
9–12 Nov Jiji Press Archived 2018-12-09 at the Wayback Machine 42.3 38.2 19.5
9–11 Nov NHK 45.6 36.8 17.6
3–4 Nov JNN 51.0 47.0 2.0
3–4 Nov Kyodo News 47.3 39.5 13.2
26–28 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 42 9
26–28 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 49 41 10
20–21 Oct ANN Archived 2018-12-03 at the Wayback Machine 39.3 40.1 20.6
13–14 Oct Asahi Shimbun 40 40 20
13–14 Oct JNN 51.7 45.6 2.7
6–8 Oct NHK 42.3 39.8 17.9
5–8 Oct Jiji Press Archived 2018-12-09 at the Wayback Machine 41.9 36.1 22
6–7 Oct Mainichi Shimbun 37 40 20
2–3 Oct Kyodo News 46.5 38.2 15.3
2–3 Oct Nikkei & TV Tokyo 50 42 9
2–3 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 50 39 10
21–23 Sep Nikkei & TV Tokyo 55 39 5
21–23 Sep Yomiuri Shimbun 50 41 9
20–21 Sep Kyodo News 47.4 40.0 12.6
15–17 Sep NHK 42.1 38.7 19.2
15–16 Sep ANN Archived 2018-09-18 at the Wayback Machine 39.4 38.7 21.9
7–10 Sep Jiji Press 41.7 36.6 21.7
8–9 Sep Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 41 38 21
1–2 Sep JNN 46.2 52.0 1.8
1–2 Sep Mainichi Shimbun 37 41 20
25–26 Aug Kyodo News 40.3 44.3 15.4
24–26 Aug Nikkei & TV Tokyo 48 42 10
24–26 Aug Yomiuri Shimbun 50 40 10
18–19 Aug ANN Archived 2018-08-26 at the Wayback Machine 38.8 44.6 16.6
3–6 Aug Jiji Press Archived 2018-08-11 at the Wayback Machine 38.5 38.9 22.6
4–5 Aug Asahi Shimbun 38 41 21
4–5 Aug JNN 43.8 54.0 2.3
3–5 Aug NHK 41.4 40.6 18.0
28–29 Jul Mainchi Shimbun 37 44 18
21–22 Jul ANN Archived 2018-07-25 at the Wayback Machine 38.2 45.6 16.2
21–22 Jul Kyodo News 43.4 41.8 14.8
21–22 Jul Yomiuri Shimbun 45 45 10
20–22 Jul Nikkei & TV Tokyo 45 47 8
14–15 Jul Asahi Shimbun 38 43 19
6–9 Jul Jiji Press Archived 2018-07-13 at the Wayback Machine 37.0 40.9 22.1
7–8 Jul JNN 43.1 55.8 1.3
6–8 Jul NHK 44.1 38.8 17.1
23–24 Jun Mainichi Shimbun 36 40 22
22–24 Jun Nikkei & TV Tokyo 52 42 6
16–17 Jun ANN Archived 2018-06-19 at the Wayback Machine 39.4 44.5 16.1
16–17 Jun Asahi Shimbun 38 45 17
16–17 Jun Kyodo News 44.9 43.2 11.9
15–17 Jun NTV Archived 2018-06-17 at the Wayback Machine 39.4 41.9 18.7
15–17 Jun Yomiuri Shimbun[permanent dead link] 45 44 11
8–11 Jun Jiji Press 35.5 43.4 21.1
8–10 Jun NHK 37.8 43.5 18.6
2–3 Jun JNN 39.0 59.1 2.1
26–27 May Mainichi Shimbun 31 48 19
25–27 May Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 53 5
19–20 May ANN Archived 2018-05-23 at the Wayback Machine 34.1 51.1 14.8
19–20 May Asahi Shimbun 36 44 20
18–20 May NTV Archived 2018-05-20 at the Wayback Machine 32.4 50.6 17.0
18–20 May Yomiuri Shimbun 42 47 11
11–14 May Jiji Press Archived 2018-05-18 at the Wayback Machine 38.1 43.0 18.9
12–13 May JNN 40.6 57.7 1.7
12–13 May Kyodo News 38.9 50.3 10.8
11–13 May NHK 37.8 43.5 18.7
27–29 Apr Nikkei & TV Tokyo 43 51 7
14 Mar – 25 Apr Asahi Shimbun[d] 36 56 8
21–22 Apr ANN Archived 2018-04-25 at the Wayback Machine 29.0 55.2 15.8
21–22 Apr Mainichi Shimbun 30 49 20
20–22 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun Archived 2018-04-23 at the Wayback Machine 39 53 8
14–15 Apr Asahi Shimbun 31 52 17
13–15 Apr NTV Archived 2018-04-15 at the Wayback Machine 26.7 53.4 20.0
6–9 Apr Jiji Press Archived 2018-04-13 at the Wayback Machine 38.4 42.6 19
7–8 Apr JNN 40.0 58.4 1.7
6–8 Apr NHK 37.7 44.5 17.8
31 Mar – 1 Apr Kyodo News 42.4 47.5 10.1
31 Mar – 1 Apr Yomiuri Shimbun 42 50 8
24–25 Mar ANN Archived 2018-04-01 at the Wayback Machine 32.6 54.9 12.5
23–25 Mar Nikkei & TV Tokyo 42 49 9
17–18 Mar Asahi Shimbun 31 48 21
17–18 Mar Kyodo News 38.7 48.2 13.1
17–18 Mar Mainichi Shimbun 33 47 19
16–18 Mar NTV Archived 2018-03-21 at the Wayback Machine 30.3 53.0 16.7
9–12 Mar Jiji Press Archived 2018-03-17 at the Wayback Machine 39.3 40.4 17.6
9–11 Mar NHK 43.8 38.1 18.1
9–11 Mar Yomiuri Shimbun 48 42 9
3–4 Mar JNN 49.3 48.9 1.9
3–4 Mar Kyodo News 48.1 39.0 12.9
24–25 Feb ANN Archived 2018-04-21 at the Wayback Machine 44.3 41.7 14.0
24–25 Feb Mainichi Shimbun 45 32 20
23–25 Feb Nikkei 56 36 8
17–18 Feb Asahi Shimbun 44 37 19
16–18 Feb NTV Archived 2018-02-20 at the Wayback Machine 44.0 37.3 18.7
10–12 Feb NHK 46.4 34.3 19.3
9–12 Feb Jiji Press 48.7 31.9 19.4
10–11 Feb Kyodo News Archived 2018-02-13 at the Wayback Machine 50.8 36.9 12.3
10–11 Feb Yomiuri Shimbun 54 36 9
3–4 Feb JNN 50.6 46.8 2.6
26–28 Jan Nikkei 55 37 8
26–28 Jan NTV Archived 2018-01-28 at the Wayback Machine 36.9 43.8 19.2
20–21 Jan Asahi Shimbun 45 33 22
20–21 Jan ANN Archived 2018-01-23 at the Wayback Machine 40.1 42.3 17.6
20–21 Jan Mainichi Shimbun Archived 2018-08-17 at the Wayback Machine 44 38 16
12–15 Jan Jiji Press Archived 2018-02-02 at the Wayback Machine 46.6 33.6 19.8
13–14 Jan Kyodo News 49.7 36.6 13.7
13–14 Jan JNN 54.6 43.9 1.5
12–14 Jan Yomiuri Shimbun 54 35 11
6–8 Jan NHK 45.7 37.0 17.3

2017[edit]

Fieldwork date Polling firm Prime Minister Approve Disapprove Und. / no answer
16–17 Dec Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] Shinzo Abe 41 38 21
15–17 Dec Nikkei & TV Tokyo 50 40 10
15–17 Dec NTV Archived 2018-03-27 at the Wayback Machine 37.8 45.3 16.9
8–11 Dec Jiji Press Archived 2018-04-02 at the Wayback Machine 42.6 36.1 21.3
9–10 Dec ANN Archived 2018-03-19 at the Wayback Machine 43.7 39.6 16.7
8–10 Dec NHK 49 35 16
8–10 Dec Yomiuri Shimbun 53 36 11
18 Oct – 6 Dec Mainichi & SSRC[d] 40 41 18
2–3 Dec Kyodo News 47.2 40.4 12.4
2–3 Dec JNN 52.7 45.7 1.6
24–26 Nov Nikkei 52 39 9
17–19 Nov NTV Archived 2017-12-01 at the Wayback Machine 41.1 41.4 17.5
10–13 Nov Jiji Press Archived 2017-12-01 at the Wayback Machine 45.4 37.1 17.5
11–12 Nov Mainichi Shimbun Archived 2017-11-19 at the Wayback Machine 46 36 15
11–12 Nov Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 44 39 17
11–12 Nov JNN 53.1 45.8 1.1
10–12 Nov NHK 46 35 19
4–5 Nov ANN Archived 2017-11-07 at the Wayback Machine 44.2 41.5 14.3
1–2 Nov Nikkei & TV Tokyo 54 38 7
1–2 Nov Yomiuri Shimbun 52 40 7
1–2 Nov Kyodo News Archived 2017-11-16 at the Wayback Machine 49.5 38.3 12.2
23–24 Oct Asahi Shimbun[permanent dead link] 42 39 19
23–24 Oct Yomiuri Shimbun 52 37 10

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak Internet Survey excluded
  2. ^ a b as Kibō no Tō
  3. ^ a b c as Liberal Party
  4. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s Mail Survey
  5. ^ Including Toshimitsu Motegi; Katsunobu Katō; Hakubun Shimomura; Yasutoshi Nishimura; and unspecified "Others"
  6. ^ Including Sanae Takaichi; Seiko Noda; Toshimitsu Motegi; Katsunobu Katō; Hakubun Shimomura; Yasutoshi Nishimura; and unspecified "Others"
  7. ^ a b "Don't know" and "No answer" combined

References[edit]

  1. ^ "New opposition party lacking in numbers after 2 parties merge". Asahi Shimbun. 7 May 2018. Archived from the original on 13 July 2019. Retrieved 7 May 2018.
  2. ^ a b "衆院選獲得議席予測". Twitter. Retrieved 2021-10-19.
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