User:Quinnnnnby/sandbox/draft2

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This page lists public opinion polls conducted for the 2027 French presidential election. The first round is expected to be in April of 2027.

First round[edit]

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Nathalie Arthaud
Ifop 24–25 Oct 2023 1,179 1% 1% 6% 14% 5% 2% 19% 4% 6% 3% 33% 6%
1.5% 1.5% 6% 15% 6% 2% 16% 3.5% 6% 2.5% 33% 7%
1.5% 1% 7% 15% 5.5% 2% 18% 3% 6% 2.5% 32% 6.5%
1.5% 2% 7.5% 7% 4% 2% 26% 2.5% 6% 3% 32% 6.5%
1% 2% 6% 14% 4% 1% 25% 2.5% 5% 2% 31% 6.5%
Harris Interactive 1–4 Sep 2023 2,525 1% 2% 6% 16% 7% 5% 16% 7% 2% 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 8% 6% 14% 7% 2% 32% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 9% 5% 11% 9% 2% 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 17% 10% 7% 5% 10% 3% 33% 6%
1% 2% 5% 16% 8% 7% 12% 8% 2% 32% 7%
1% 2% 6% 17% 9% 6% 9% 9% 2% 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 10% 6% 8% 9% 3% 33% 6%
1% 2% 6% 16% 5% 5% 22% 5% 2% 30% 6%
OpinionWay 12–13 Apr 2023 1,038 1% 3% 17% 6% 2% 32% 7% 23% 9%
Harris Interactive 6–7 Apr 2023 1,320 1% 1% 4% 16% 5% 4% 24% 5% 2% 30% 7%
1% 1% 5% 18% 7% 5% 16% 5% 2% 32% 7%
1% 1% 5% 19% 8% 5% 10% 7% 2% 33% 8%
1% 1% 4% 17% 3% 4% 24% 5% 2% 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 1% 2.5% 5% 17% 3% 1% 26% 2% 5% 2.5% 29% 6%
1% 2.5% 22% 28% 2.5% 4% 3% 31% 6%
1% 2.5% 6% 20% 2% 1% 18% 2.5% 6% 3% 32% 6%
0.5% 2.5% 5% 20% 3% 2% 11% 2% 8% 4% 35% 7%
1% 1.5% 6.5% 20% 2% 1% 9% 3% 10% 3% 36% 7%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% 4.63% 3.13% 2.06% 23.15% 7.07%

Scenario polling[edit]

Re-run of the 2022 election[edit]

Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.

First round[edit]

Polling
firm
Fieldwork
date
Sample
size
Cluster17 18–20 Oct 2023 1,580 0.5% 0.5% 5% 17.5% 2% 5% 24.5% 3% 3.5% 3% 29.5% 6.5%
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 1% 1% 5% 19% 2% 4% 23% 3% 3% 2% 32% 5%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 0.5% 1% 4% 18.5% 1.5% 5% 23% 2.5% 3.5% 2.5% 31% 7%
Ifop 30–31 Mar 2023 1,105 0.5% 1% 5% 17% 2% 5% 25% 1.5% 4% 2% 31% 6%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 0.5% 1% 3% 20% 1% 5% 30% 2.5% 3% 2.5% 25.5% 6%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 0.5% 1% 3% 17% 2% 6% 29% 1.5% 3% 2% 30% 5%
2022 election 10 Apr 2022 0.56% 0.76% 2.28% 21.95% 1.74% 4.63% 27.85% 3.13% 4.78% 2.06% 23.15% 7.07%

Second round[edit]

Polling

firm

Fieldwork

date

Sample

size

Abstention
Macron[a]
RE
Le Pen
RN
Odoxa 5–6 Apr 2023 1,005 46% 54%
Elabe 3–5 Apr 2023 1,808 45% 55%
Cluster17 4–6 Nov 2022 2,151 51.5% 48.5%
Ifop 25–26 Oct 2022 1,125 53% 47%
2022 election 24 Apr 2022 28.01% 58.55% 41.45%

Footnotes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Macron is not eligible for a third consecutive term.

References[edit]