Opinion polling for the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election

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In the run up to the 2016 Slovak parliamentary election, various organisations carry out opinion polling to gauge voting intention in Slovakia. Results of such polls are displayed in this article.

The date range for these opinion polls are from the previous parliamentary election, held on 5 March 2016, to the present day.

A local regression graph of all polls conducted

Party vote[edit]

Date Polling firm Sample size Smer-SD SIEŤ KDH Most–Híd OĽaNO SNS SMK-MKP SaS NOVA SDKÚ-DS Others Lead
10 Feb-14 Feb MVK[1] 1,136 32.5% 14.5% 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 10.5% 5.0% 4.0% w.OĽaNO 1.0% 11.7% 18.0%
6 Feb-14 Feb Polis[2] 1,670 38.4% 10.4% 6.6% 9.2% 6.8% 9.1% 4.0% 5.2% w.OĽaNO 1.3% 9.0% 28.0%
6 Feb-14 Feb Focus[3] 1,005 34.6% 14.0% 7.0% 8.2% 6.1% 8.7% 3.5% 5.5% w.OĽaNO 1.0% 8.9% 20.6%
31 Jan-7 Feb Focus[4] 1,000 34.1% 13.7% 7.5% 8.0% 6.4% 8.1% 3.6% 5.1% w.OĽaNO 1.7% 11.8% 20.4%
22-31 Jan Focus[5] 1,009 36.3% 13.0% 7.1% 7.7% 6.4% 7.3% 3.8% 5.5% w.OĽaNO 1.7% 11.2% 23.3%
22-28 Jan MVK[6] 1,148 32.1% 14.6% 8.2% 6.0% 5.9% 10.1% 5.1% 3.4% w.OĽaNO 1.6% 13.0% 17.5%
11-14 Jan AKO[7] 1,000 40.7% 8.1% 5.6% 7.9% 5.7% 7.4% — 6.2% w.OĽaNO — 18.4% 33.9%
28 Dec-8 Jan MVK[8] 1,089 34.5% 14.7% 8.6% 6.5% 5.0% 10.1% 5.1% 3.4% w.OĽaNO 2.0% 10.1% 19.8%
2016
24 Nov-1 Dec AKO[9] 1,000 42.2% 8.3% 7.9% 10.4% 5.7% 9.7% — 6.2% w.OĽaNO — 9.6% 31.8%
14-21 Nov MVK[10] 1,270 36.0% 14.9% 10.1% 6.7% 6.6% 6.8% 4.4% 3.7% w.OĽaNO 2.8% 6.4% 21.1%
8–14 Nov Polis[11] 1,305 40.1% 12.6% 7.7% 7.8% 6.6% 8.5% 5.3% 4.0% w.OĽaNO 2.8% 4.6% 27.5%
3-11 Nov Focus 1,034 39.0% 12.9% 7.7% 7.0% 6.6% 6.0% 4.1% 5.2% w.OĽaNO 3.0% 8.5% 28.1%
14 Oct-11 Nov Median 1,217 40.8% 8.9% 8.1% 7.1% 8.0% 6.3% 4.2% 5.7% w.OĽaNO 3.2% 7.7% 31.1%
29 Oct–4 Nov AKO[12] 1,000 41.0% 9.7% 6.3% 9.9% 5.6% 8.2% 3.4% 5.0% w.OĽaNO 3.9% 7.0% 31.1%
6-14 Oct Focus 1,032 39.1% 12.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 6.1% 4.2% 5.2% w.OĽaNO 2.8% 8.9% 26.5%
26 Sep–2 Oct MVK[13] 1,085 40.0% 8.3% 10.8% 6.9% 4.3% 7.6% 5.0% 3.7% w.OĽaNO 1.7% 11.7% 29.2%
1-9 Sep Focus 1,031 37.7% 11.4% 8.2% 7.1% 8.0% 6.4% 4.1% 5.4% w.OĽaNO 2.2% 9.5% 26.3%
20 Jul–16 Aug Median 1,031 39.9% 8.3% 9.3% 6.8% 6.6% 7.6% 4.6% 4.8% w.OĽaNO 3.5% 8.6% 30.6%
28 Jul–4 Aug Focus 1,017 34.6% 11.9% 8.8% 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 4.2% 5.1% w.OĽaNO 2.2% 10.6% 22.7%
22–29 Jul Median 1,031 38.4% 10.2% 9.0% 5.6% 7.8% 8.0% 3.7% 4.7% w.OĽaNO 3.7% 7.9% 28.2%
12–18 Jul Polis Slovakia[14] 1,463 35.0% 12.1% 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 8.3% 5.1% 4.5% w.OĽaNO 1.8% 8.3% 22.9%
8–14 Jun Polis Slovakia[15] 1,469 34.8% 11.8% 8.4% 8.8% 6.9% 8.1% 5.0% 4.3% 3.0% 1.4% 7.5% 23.0%
2–10 Jun Focus 1,018 35.3% 10.9% 9.5% 7.8% 7.7% 6.4% 4.3% 4.6% 2.5% 2.4% 8.6% 24.4%
5–13 May Focus 1,067 33.2% 10.7% 9.4% 7.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.4% 5.0% 2.4% 2.3% 9.1% 22.5%
4–11 May Polis Slovakia[16] 1,402 35.3% 10.8% 8.3% 8.4% 7.9% 8.0% 5.5% 3.9% 2.4% 2.0% 7.7% 24.5%
11–18 Apr Polis Slovakia[17] 1,417 34.7% 10.1% 10.5% 8.7% 7.2% 6.8% 5.2% 4.0% 2.4% 2.5% 7.9% 24.2%
31 Mar–8 Apr Focus 1,027 37.4% 10.9% 9.9% 7.2% 7.0% 5.7% 4.0% 5.3% 2.3% 3.2% 7.1% 26.5%
20–27 Mar eCall Slovakia[18] 1,266 35.6% 12.6% 8.3% 9.9% 7.5% 6.4% 3.8% 5.1% 2.6% 3.2% 5.0% 23%
17–23 Mar Polis Slovakia[19] 1 448 37.7% 9.3% 8.0% 8.0% 8.8% 6.2% 4.7% 3.8% 2.8% 2.2% 8.5% 28.4%
3–10 Mar MVK[20][21] 1,106 38.8% 7.8% 11.5% 7.1% 7.7% 5.1% 5.4% 2.6% 2.0% 3.5% 8.5% 27.3%
9–18 Feb Polis Slovakia[22] 1,472 36.8% 10.1% 7.3% 8.6% 6.7% 7.2% 4.6% 4.2% 3.1% 3.1% 8.3% 26.7%
27 Jan–3 Feb Focus 1,010 35.5% 11% 10.9% 7% 6% 5.7% 4.6% 4.4% 3.3% 2.8% 8.8% 24.5%
12–18 Jan Polis Slovakia[23] 1,410 37.4% 11.3% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 5.7% 5.7% 3.9% 2.4% 2.5% 7.6% 26.1%
2015
1–7 Dec Polis Slovakia[24] 1,463 38.3% 11.9% 8.2% 7.8% 8.4% 5.2% 5.1% 3.9% 2.4% 3.1% 5.7% 26.4%
1–7 Nov MVK[25] 1,125 38.8% 11.9% 12.2% 6.2% 6.9% 3.9% 4.5% 3.7% 3.1% 3.9% 4.9% 26.6%
4 Aug Focus 1,051 36.8% 10.6% 9.7% 7.1% 7.8% 3.8% 5.2% 4.2% 3.2% 4.9% 8.5% 26.2%
31 Jul Polis Slovakia[26] 1,128 35.8% 16.4% 7.7% 8.3% 5.5% 4.0% 6.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3.9% 5.7% 19.4%
1 Jul Polis Slovakia[27] 1,322 35.3% 17.2% 7.9% 7.8% 4.9% 3.9% 6.0% 3.9% 3.0% 4.8% 5.3% 18.1%
23 Jun Focus 1,025 32.2% 15.8% 9.3% 5.0% 7.6% 2.4% 5.1% 5.5% 3.4% 5.1% 8.1% 16.4%
2 Jun Polis Slovakia[28] 1,603 36.4% Did not exist 8.1% 7.6% 6.2% 3.9% 5.7% 4.3% 3.4% 4.7% 4.3% 21.0%
24 May European elections 576,437 24.1% 13.2% 5.8% 7.5% 3.6% 6.5% 6.7% 6.8% 7.8% 16.9% 11.1%
20 May Focus 1,037 34.6% 9.9% 5.1% 5.3% 4.3% 5.0% 4.1% 4.9% 5.3% 24.5% 24.7%
19 May Median 998 42.2% 7.9% 5.4% 10.5% 4.7% 4.7% 6.7% 4.1% 7.7% 6.2% 31.7%
6 May Polis Slovakia[29] 1,250 38.3% 7.0% 7.9% 7.7% 3.8% 6.3% 3.8% 2.9% 5.0% 17.3% 30.4%
22–28 Mar Polis Slovakia[30] 1,521 41.5% 9.2% 7.7% 9.0% 3.7% 6.5% 4.8% 3.7% 5.8% 8.1% 32.3%
1–5 Mar Polis Slovakia[31] 1,521 39.0% 7.8% 7.7% 8.5% - - 6.5% - 8.9% 21.6% 30.1%
27 Jan–5 Feb Focus 1,051 38.1% 12.7% 6.2% 8.0% 3.3% 5.9% 5.4% 4.0% 7.2% 12.3% 25.4%
15–21 Jan MVK[32] 1,106 38.1% 9.5% 5.9% 9.2% 2.9% 5.5% 3.9% 5.1% 8.9% 12.2% 28.6%
2014
2013
10 Mar 2012 2012 elections 2,553,726 44.4% Did not exist 8.8% 6.9% 8.6% 4.6% 4.3% 5.9% Did not exist 6.1% 10.0% 35.6%

Notes[edit]

References[edit]

  1. ^ "PRIESKUM: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SaS by sa tam nedostala". 18 February 2016.
  2. ^ "Predvolebný prieskum posiela do parlamentu sedem strán: Veľký presun síl na pravici". 15 February 2016.
  3. ^ "Posledný prieskum Focusu: Smer nestúpa, potreboval by partnera".
  4. ^ "Prieskum Focusu: Smer mierne klesá, stúpa SNS, SaS je v parlamente". 10 February 2016.
  5. ^ "SLOVAKIA, January 2016. Focus poll".
  6. ^ "Prieskum MVK: V parlamente by bolo sedem strán, SNS na treťom mieste".
  7. ^ "PRIESKUM: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo sedem strán, KDH by prešlo tesne". Teraz.sk. 15 January 2016. Retrieved 2016-01-16.
  8. ^ "Voľby by vyhral Smer, nemohol by však vládnuť sám". dennikn.sk. 13 January 2016. Retrieved 2016-01-13.
  9. ^ "Smer by získal polovicu kresiel v parlamente". Webnoviny.sk. 2 December 2015. Retrieved 2015-12-02.
  10. ^ "Prieskum: Do parlamentu by sa dostalo päť strán, voľby by vyhral Smer". 30 November 2015.
  11. ^ "Popularity of Smer and SNS up, Polis poll shows". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-11-24. Retrieved 2015-11-25.
  12. ^ "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer so ziskom 41 percent". Pravda.sk (in Slovak). 2015-11-05. Retrieved 2015-11-05.
  13. ^ "Prieskum: Voľby by vyhral Smer, OĽaNO-NOVA mimo parlamentu". Pravda.sk (in Slovak). 2015-10-09. Retrieved 2015-10-13.
  14. ^ "PRIESKUM: Voľby by vyhral Smer, kto by sa ešte dostal do parlamentu?". pluska.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-08-14.
  15. ^ "Oproti máju Smer klesá, poslancov by mal už len 62". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-08-14.
  16. ^ "KDH stráca voličov, SDKÚ, SaS a NOVA by v parlamente chýbali". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-05-15. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  17. ^ "Polis Smeru nameral najnižšie preferencie za 14 mesiacov, aj pre Váhostav". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2015-04-23. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  18. ^ "KDH skončilo pod Mostom, liberáli zo SaS majú na mále". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-03-27. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  19. ^ "Poll: Ruling Smer would win election with 37.7 percent". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-03-26. Retrieved 2015-05-20.
  20. ^ "Procházkova Sieť padla. V prieskume sa objavili nové pravicové strany". HNonline.sk (in Slovak). 2015-03-17. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
  21. ^ "Sieť drops in MVK poll". The Slovak Spectator. 2015-03-17. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
  22. ^ "Smer by nevládol sám, voliči SDKÚ prešli k Procházkovi". Webnoviny.sk (in Slovak). 2015-02-23. Retrieved 2015-03-04.
  23. ^ "Prieskum Polis: Smer stagnuje, mohol by vládnuť s SNS". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2015-01-22. Retrieved 2015-03-06.
  24. ^ "Polis: Smer má pod 40 percent, v parlamente aj SMK a SNS". TA3 (in Slovak). 2014-12-09. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
  25. ^ "MVK poll shows SDKÚ and SaS out of parliament". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-11-19. Retrieved 2015-03-17.
  26. ^ "Polis: Sieť sa pred nahrávkou držala, SDKÚ ďalej klesá". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2014-07-31. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
  27. ^ "Polis: Smer klesá, Procházka stúpa, Obyčajní a SDKÚ sú na hrane". SME.sk (in Slovak). 2014-07-01. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
  28. ^ "Poll: Sieť would take 24.6 percent of OĽaNO's 2012 voters". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-06-05. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
  29. ^ "Sieť has voter support, poll shows". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-05-12. Retrieved 2015-03-11.
  30. ^ "Poll: Smer would win 41.5 percent of votes and 78 mandates". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-04-03. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
  31. ^ "Polis Poll: Fico the most and least trusted politician in Slovakia". The Slovak Spectator. 2014-03-07. Retrieved 2015-03-18.
  32. ^ "Šokujúci prieskum: Kotlebova strana by sa dostala do parlamentu!". topky.sk (in Slovak). 2014-01-28. Retrieved 2015-03-19.
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