User:QuailWatts/sandbox11

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2024 Democratic Primary without Joe Biden[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Stacey
Abrams
Cory
Booker
Pete
Buttigieg
Andrew
Cuomo
Kamala
Harris
Amy
Klobuchar
Michelle
Obama
Beto
O'Rourke
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Andrew
Yang
Other Undecided
Echelon Insights December 9–13, 2021 479 (RV) 5% 6% 7% 33% 3% 5% 14% 8% 6%
Harvard/Harris November 30 – December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 5% 5% 8% 31% 5% 7% 15% 7% 16%[b]
Hill-HarrisX November 18–19, 2021 939 (RV) ± 3.2% 13% 10% 13% 36%
Echelon Insights November 12–18, 2021 458 (LV) 6% 6% 8% 29% 2% 5% 16% 6% 3%[c] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 450 (LV) 5% 3% 8% 2% 22% 5% 23% 3% 5% 29%
YouGov/Yahoo News October 19–21, 2021 671 (A) 7% 9% 22% 7% 12% 8% 4%[d] 31%
Echelon Insights October 15–19, 2021 533 (LV) 5% 4% 9% 23% 4% 5% 16% 6% 6%[e] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 473 (LV) 5% 3% 9% 2% 29% 3% 18% 3% 7% 7%[f] 14%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 476 (LV) 5% 4% 7% 2% 29% 3% 17% 3% 7% 5%[g] 17%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 4% 5% 8% 4% 28% 2% 16% 2% 7% 4% 6%[h] 14%
YouGov/Yahoo News July 30 – August 2, 2021 697 (A) 4% 6% 44% 4% 10% 6% 18%[i] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 463 (LV) 5% 3% 4% 2% 31% 3% 19% 3% 5% 3% 6%[j] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 459 (LV) 4% 4% 6% 1% 35% 3% 16% 2% 7% 2% 9%[k] 13%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[l] 9% 41% 5% 4% 8% 3% 29%[m]
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 458 (LV) 4% 5% 2% 34% 4% 20% 2% 3% 4% 6%[n] 12%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 443 (LV) 4% 7% 1% 28% 3% 23% 2% 8% 4% 6%[o] 14%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
McLaughlin & Associates Dec 9–13, 2020 445 (LV) 3% 5% 5% 25% 2% 29% 7% 8%[p] 18%
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 445 (LV) ± 3.1% 2% 6% 5% 29% 2% 23% 6% 5%[q] 23%
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 461 (LV) 2% 8% 8% 18% 25% 6% 6%[r] 28%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 390 (LV) ± 2.8% 6% 6% 16% 21% 19% 6% 6% 9% 8% 3%[s]

Commonly polled politicians[edit]

To keep track of which politicians are more prominent in the polling than others.

Current or previous first place holder[edit]

These people have polled above anyone else in at least one poll after the 2020 election.

Recently polled at or over 5%[edit]

These people have gained at least 5% at least one of in the 10 latest polls.

Minor politicians[edit]

These people have either polled at or over 3% in the 10 latest polls or have been included in half of the 10 latest polls.

Negligible politicians[edit]

Polled at least once in the 10 latest polls, usually around 0-1%.

Picayune[edit]

Polled at least once.

2024 Republican Primary without Donald Trump[edit]

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[a]
Margin
of error
Tucker
Carlson
Ted
Cruz
Ron
DeSantis
Nikki
Haley
Josh
Hawley
Larry
Hogan
Mike
Pence
Mike
Pompeo
Mitt
Romney
Marco
Rubio
Tim
Scott
Donald
Trump Jr.
Other Undecided
5% 36% 4% 16% 4% 9% 8%
6% 39% 3% 18% 3% 7% 7%
Echelon Insights May 20–23, 2022 451 (LV) ±3.7% 7% 34% 3% 1% 1% 17% 0% 1% 2% 1% 7% 8%[t] 18%
425 (RV) ±3.7% 5% 32% 3% 1% 1% 18% 1% 1% 2% 2% 7% 9%[u] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates April 22–26, 2022 464 (LV) 6% 31% 2% 1% 11% 1% 4% 3% 1% 16% 12%[v] 13%
Harvard/Harris April 20–21, 2022 – (RV)[w] 8% 35% 7% 20% 1% 3% 1% 6%[x] 18%
Echelon Insights April 18–20, 2022 456 (LV) ±3.7% 7% 35% 6% 0% 2% 15% 2% 2% 3% 1% 5% 3%[y] 17%
439 (RV) ±3.7% 7% 34% 5% 0% 1% 14% 2% 2% 2% 1% 8% 3%[z] 18%
Harvard/Harris March 23–24, 2022 719 (RV) 10% 28% 6% 24% 3% 5% 2% 5%[aa] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates March 17–22, 2022 459 (LV) 5% 26% 4% 1% 15% 2% 3% 2% 1% 16% 7%[ab] 17%
Echelon Insights March 18–21, 2022 455 (LV) 7% 24% 6% 1% 1% 17% 1% 7% 2% 1% 10% 4%[ac] 20%
475 (RV) 5% 31% 6% 1% 1% 16% 1% 6% 3% 1% 8% 3%[ad] 17%
Harvard/Harris February 23–24, 2022 729 (RV) 11% 33% 5% 25% 5% 4% 3% 14%
Echelon Insights February 19–23, 2022 408 (RV) 8% 27% 5% 1% 1% 18% 2% 2% 3% 1% 7% 10%[ae] 16%
McLaughlin & Associates February 16–22, 2022 463 (LV) 5% 27% 3% 0% 11% 2% 3% 2% 1% 17% 14%[af] 13%
Morning Consult January 22–23, 2022 463 (RV) ±2% 6% 25% 4% 1% 12% 1% 2% 1% 1% 24% 3%[ag] 20%
Echelon Insights January 21–23, 2022 423 (RV) 6% 28% 4% 0% 1% 16% 0% 6% 1% 2% 11% 6%[ah] 19%
Harvard/Harris January 19–20, 2022 718 (RV) 14% 30% 4% 25% 3% 6% 3%
McLaughlin & Associates January 13–18, 2022 468 (LV) 8% 26% 6% 1% 12% 1% 5% 1% 1% 18% 7%[ai] 13%
Echelon Insights December 9–13, 2021 1,020 (RV) 8% 30% 3% 0% 0% 12% 0% 4% 2% 0% 8% 6%[aj] 19%
Harvard/Harris November 30–December 2, 2021 1,989 (RV) 13% 30% 7% 25% 4% 8% 4% 10%
Echelon Insights[2] November 12–18, 2021 435 (RV) 10% 26% 6% 1% 0% 15% 1% 3% 1% 1% 13% 5%[ak] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates November 11–16, 2021 456 (LV) 7% 25% 4% 13% 2% 5% 2% 2% 20% 8%[al] 12%
Harvard/Harris October 26–28, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 12% 21% 23% 0% 43%
Echelon Insights[3] October 15–19, 2021 476 (RV) 2% 8% 22% 5% 0% 0% 8% 2% 3% 4% 2% 13% 8%[am] 22%
McLaughlin & Associates October 14–18, 2021 463 (LV) 5% 24% 5% 14% 1% 5% 2% 2% 18% 11%[an] 13%
Echelon Insights[4] September 17–23, 2021 479 (RV) 2% 9% 22% 6% 1% 1% 15% 2% 4% 2% 1% 9% 11%[ao] 21%
Harvard/Harris September 15–16, 2021 490 (LV) ±4.0% 14% 20% 32% 0% 38%
McLaughlin & Associates September 9–14, 2021 456 (LV) 7% 22% 4% 15% 2% 4% 2% 2% 19% 12%[ap] 11%
Emerson College August 30 – September 1, 2021 395 (RV) ± 4.9% 13% 32% 10% 6% 24% 6% 9%[aq] 0%
McLaughlin & Associates July 29 – August 3, 2021 467 (LV) 9% 23% 4% 11% 2% 4% 4% 1% 12% 16%[ar] 14%
Echelon Insights[5] July 19–23, 2021 421 (RV) 1% 9% 32% 4% 1% 0%[as] 17% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 6%[at] 13%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates July 6–8, 2021 800 (RV) ± 3.5% 7% 39% 4% 0% 1% 15% 1% 3% 2% 4%[au] 24%
Echelon Insights[6] June 18–22, 2021 386 (RV) 1% 6% 21% 6% 0%[av] 0%[aw] 14% 0%[ax] 4% 3% 2% 7% 7%[ay] 26%
McLaughlin & Associates June 16–20, 2021 444 (LV) 6% 24% 4% 19% 1% 5% 2% 1% 15% 13%[az] 11%
McLaughlin & Associates May 12–18, 2021 444 (LV) 1% 12% 18% 5% 19% 2% 3% 1% 2% 13% 13%[ba] 12%
Echelon Insights[7] May 14–17, 2021 479 (RV) 2% 9% 22% 5% 1% 0%[bb] 14% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6% 9%[bc] 19%
Trafalgar Group Apr 30 – May 6, 2021 – (LV)[bd] 15% 35% 6% 1% 10% 10% 21%[be]
Echelon Insights[8] Apr 16–23, 2021 440 (RV) 2% 8% 20% 6% 1% 0%[bf] 16% 1% 4% 2% 0%[bg] 9% 3%[bh] 28%
McLaughlin & Associates Apr 8–13, 2021 441 (LV) 3% 10% 14% 3% 19% 2% 3% 3% 1% 15% 13%[bi] 14%
Echelon Insights March 15–21, 2021 1,008 (RV) 4% 5% 17% 4% 16% 4% 3% 2% 3% 7%[bj] 35%
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/The Hill[9] Feb 20 – March 2, 2021 1,264 (LV) ± 2.7% 13% 17% 8% 2% 1% 19% 4% 5% 4% 1% 7%[bk] 20%
McLaughlin & Associates Feb 24–28, 2021 448 (LV) 1% 9% 9% 5% 15% 6% 2% 21% 16%[bl] 17%
RMG Research/Just the News Feb 25–27, 2021 363 (RV) 8% 18% 21% 10% 2% 9% 33%[bm]
Harvard-Harris Feb 23–25, 2021 546 (RV) 16% 10% 6% 41% 7% 19%[bn]
Echelon Insights Feb 12–18, 2021 430 (RV) 1% 10% 8% 6% ≤1% 1% 21% 1% 4% ≤1% ≤1% 8% 12%[bo] 26%
Echelon Insights Jan 20–26, 2021 – (RV)[bp] 2% 8% 2% 9% 0% 0% 21% 1% 3% 2% 1% 10% 10%[bq] 30%
January 20, 2021 Inauguration of Joe Biden
Léger Jan 15–17, 2021 1,007 (A)[br] ± 3.09% 9% 3% 8% 2% 7% 22% 3% 20% 4% 3% 11% 8%[bs]
McLaughlin & Associates/Newsmax Nov 21–23, 2020 442 (LV) ± 3.1% 1% 7% 2% 6% 20% 1% 5% 3% 2% 20% 13%[bt] 22%
Léger Nov 13–15, 2020 304 (A)[bu] ± 3.1% 6% 14% 6% 44% 3% 11% 6% 7%[bv]
November 3, 2020 2020 presidential election
McLaughlin & Associates Nov 2–3, 2020 449 (LV) 2% 5% 2% 8% 30% 5% 2% 1% 20% 5%[bw] 21%
Echelon Insights Aug 14–18, 2020 423 (LV) 2% 4% 7% 0% 1% 26% 5% 1% 12% 11%[bx] 29%
Léger Aug 4–7, 2020 309 (LV) ± 2.8% 7% 8% 11% 31% 3% 9% 5% 17% 9%[by]

Commonly polled candidates[edit]

To keep track of which politicians are more prominent in the polling than others.

Current or previous first place holder[edit]

These people have polled above anyone else in at least one poll after the 2020 election.

Recently polled at or over 5%[edit]

These people have gained at least 5% at least one of in the 10 latest polls.

Minor politicians[edit]

These people have either polled at or over 3% in the 10 latest polls or have been included in half of the 10 latest polls.

Negligible politicians[edit]

Polled at least once in the 10 latest polls, usually around 0-1%.

Picayune[edit]

Polled at least once.

  1. ^ a b Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear Cite error: The named reference "key" was defined multiple times with different content (see the help page).
  2. ^ Gretchen Whitmer with 2%; Other/Don't know with 14%
  3. ^ Gavin Newsom with 2%; Joe Manchin with 1%; "Someone else", Andy Beshear, Tulsi Gabbard, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
  4. ^ Sherrod Brown with 4%
  5. ^ Gavin Newsom with 3%; "Someone else", Tulsi Gabbard and Joe Manchin with 1%; Andy Beshear, Kyrsten Sinema and Gretchen Whitmer with 0%
  6. ^ Joe Manchin and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  7. ^ Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Deval Patrick and Tom Steyer with 1%; John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine and Ilhan Omar with 0%
  8. ^ John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand and Tim Kaine with 1%; Ilhan Omar with 0%
  9. ^ Sherrod Brown with 2%
  10. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom, Deval Patrick and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  11. ^ Tim Kaine, Gavin Newsom and Deval Patrick with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Ilhan Omar with 1%
  12. ^ Democratic subsample of full sample of 1,574 likely voters
  13. ^ "Someone else" with 26%; Julian Castro with 2%; John Bel Edwards with 1%
  14. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper and Gavin Newsom with 2%; Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  15. ^ John Hickenlooper with 2%; Tim Kaine, Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%; Gavin Newsom with 0%
  16. ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Tim Kaine with 2%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Ilhan Omar and Deval Patrick with 1%
  17. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand, John Hickenlooper, Tim Kaine, Ilhan Omar, and Deval Patrick with 1%
  18. ^ John Hickenlooper with 3%; Kirsten Gillibrand, Tim Kaine and Deval Patrick with 1%
  19. ^ Kirsten Gillibrand with 3%
  20. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 1%; Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, Glenn Youngkin, Will Hurd, Chris Sununu, and Asa Hutchinson with 0%.
  21. ^ Chris Christie and "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, Liz Cheney, and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 1%; Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, Glenn Youngkin, Will Hurd, Chris Sununu, and Asa Hutchinson with 0%.
  22. ^ Candace Owens and Greg Abbott with 3%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rick Scott, Larry Hogan, John Bolton, and Richard Grenell with 1%; Kristi Noem with 0%.
  23. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,966 registered voters
  24. ^ "Someone else" with 6%
  25. ^ Tom Cotton, Greg Abbott, and Liz Cheney with 1%; Ben Sasse, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Will Hurd, and Chris Sununu with 0%.
  26. ^ Gregg Abbott, Liz Cheney, and Chris Sununu with 1%; Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, and Will Hurd with 0%.
  27. ^ "Someone else" with 5%.
  28. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%; Kristi Noem and Tom Cotton with 1%; Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Rick Scott, and John Bolton with 0%.
  29. ^ Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, Liz Cheney, and Greg Abbott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, Glenn Youngkin, and Chris Christie with 0%.
  30. ^ Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, and Liz Cheney with 1%; Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, Greg Abbott, Glenn Youngkin, and Chris Christie with 0%.
  31. ^ Tom Cotton and Liz Cheney with 2%; Rick Scott, Ben Sasse, Greg Abbott, Kristi Noem, Chris Christie, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%.
  32. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Kristi Noem, Tom Cotton, John Kasich, and Greg Abbott with 2%; Liz Cheney and Rick Scott with 1%; John Bolton with 0%.
  33. ^ Kristi Noem, Liz Cheney, and Chris Christie with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%.
  34. ^ Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, Greg Abbott, and Glenn Youngkin with 1%; Kristi Noem, Rick Scott, and Ben Sasse with 0%.
  35. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney, Kristi Noem, Tom Cotton, and Greg Abbott with 1%; John Kasich, Rick Scott, and John Bolton with 0%.
  36. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott with 2%; "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and Tom Cotton with 0%.
  37. ^ Liz Cheney, Greg Abbott, Chris Christie, Glenn Youngkin, Rick Scott, and "Someone else" with 1%; Tom Cotton, Ben Sasse, and Kristi Noem with 0%.
  38. ^ Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Kristi Noem, John Kasich, and Greg Abbott with 1%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 0%.
  39. ^ Liz Cheney and Kristi Noem with 2%; "Someone else", Greg Abbott, Chris Christie and Tom Cotton with 1%; Josh Hawley, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  40. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 2%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  41. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott and Marjorie Taylor Greene with 0%
  42. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Liz Cheney and John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  43. ^ "Someone else" with 8%; Tom Cotton with 1%
  44. ^ Candace Owens with 6%; Ivanka Trump with 5%; Kristi Noem with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton and John Kasich with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  45. ^ No voters
  46. ^ "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Kristi Noem with 1%; Chris Christie, Ben Sasse and Rick Scott with 0%
  47. ^ Kristi Noem with 2%; Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%; Chris Christie with 0%
  48. ^ No voters
  49. ^ No voters
  50. ^ No voters
  51. ^ "Someone else" with 2%; Greg Abbott, Liz Cheney, Chris Christie, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%; Tom Cotton, Josh Hawley and Ben Sasse with 0%
  52. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; Candace Owens with 3%; Liz Cheney with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  53. ^ Candace Owens with 5%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; John Kasich with 2%; Liz Cheney, Tom Cotton, and Kristi Noem with 1%; Rick Scott with 0%
  54. ^ No voters
  55. ^ Liz Cheney with 3%; Greg Abbott, Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 1%; Chris Christie and Rick Scott with 0%; Dave Portnoy with no voters
  56. ^ Republican subsample of total sample of 1574 likely voters
  57. ^ "Someone else" with 19%; Kristi Noem and Ben Sasse with 1%
  58. ^ No voters
  59. ^ No voters
  60. ^ Kristi Noem and "Someone else" with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy and Rick Scott with 0%; Tom Cotton and Ben Sasse with no voters
  61. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich with 2%; Rick Scott and Kristi Noem with 1%
  62. ^ Greg Abbott with 2%; “Someone else,” Tom Cotton, Tim Scott, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse, Rick Scott, Josh Hawley, and Dave Portnoy with 1% or less
  63. ^ Kristi Noem with 4%; Chris Christie, Tom Cotton and Rick Scott with 1%
  64. ^ Candace Owens with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Kristi Noem, and Tim Scott with 2%; Rick Scott with 1%
  65. ^ "Other" with 21%; Tom Cotton and Kristi Noem with 4%; Greg Abbott and Devin Nunes with 2%
  66. ^ "Someone else" with 16%; Tom Cotton with 3%
  67. ^ Dan Crenshaw, Kristi Noem, Ben Sasse and "Someone else" with 2%; Tom Cotton, John Kasich, Rand Paul with 1%; Greg Abbott, Dave Portnoy, and Elise Stefanik with 1% or less
  68. ^ GOP and GOP-leaning subsample of a full sample of 1,006 registered voters
  69. ^ Rand Paul with 3%; John Kasich and "Someone else" with 2%; Dan Crenshaw and Tom Cotton with 1%; Greg Abbott, Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  70. ^ Among all adults (no Republican crosstab published). The same pollster showed 25% for Trump and 19% for Romney in November, when taking into account all voters and not only Republicans.[1]
  71. ^ Ben Sasse and Ivanka Trump with 3%; Rick Scott with 2%
  72. ^ Ivanka Trump with 4%; John Kasich with 3%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem with 2%; Rick Scott with 0%
  73. ^ Among 304 republican adults as opposed to all adults
  74. ^ Rick Santorum with 3%; John Kasich and Rick Scott with 2%
  75. ^ John Kasich with 2%; Tom Cotton, Kristi Noem and Rick Scott with 1%
  76. ^ "Someone else" with 3%; Tom Cotton, Dan Crenshaw, Lindsay Graham and John Kasich with 2%; Ben Sasse and Elise Stefanik with 0%
  77. ^ Paul Ryan with 4%; Ivanka Trump with 3%; Kevin McCarthy with 2%
  1. ^ Cite error: The named reference leger360.com was invoked but never defined (see the help page).