Talk:Probability matching

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There are[edit]

There are cases where probability matching isn't suboptimal. For example, when deciding to select once of several caches of a resource (like food) and a large number of competitors, it is often better to match than maximize. For the person who de-stubs this article, I think that caveat would be useful to add.128.32.245.203 (talk) 04:05, 12 August 2010 (UTC)[reply]

Optimal? Suboptimal?[edit]

The word suboptimal seems that it does not belong here without an appropriate citation. It is my belief that there are many cases, especially in the multi-armed bandits context, where probability matching provides a solution that is at least asymptotically optimal, if not finite time optimal. See, at a minimum, Scott (2010) in Applied Stochastic Models for Business and Industry. DOI: 10.1002/asmb:

"This article describes a heuristic for managing multi-armed bandits called randomized probability matching, which randomly allocates observations to arms according the Bayesian posterior probability that each arm is optimal."

Refrozen (talk) 04:27, 15 November 2014 (UTC)[reply]

I agree with these comments. More generally, the connection between probability matching and Thompson sampling could be improved. See my related comment on the talk page of Thompson sampling. Thanks! Koedinger (talk) 13:23, 28 October 2016 (UTC)[reply]