2009 Basque regional election

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2009 Basque regional election
← 2005 1 March 2009 2012 →
All 75 seats in the Basque Parliament
38 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered1,776,059 1.3%
Turnout1,148,697 (64.7%)
3.3 pp
  First party Second party Third party
 
Leader Juan José Ibarretxe Patxi López Antonio Basagoiti
Party EAJ/PNV PSE–EE (PSOE) PP
Leader since 31 January 1998 23 March 2002 12 July 2008
Leader's seat Álava Biscay Biscay
Last election 22 seats
(PNV–EA)[a] 		18 seats, 22.5% 15 seats, 17.3%
Seats won 30 25 13
Seat change 8 7 2
Popular vote 399,600 318,112 146,148
Percentage 38.1% 30.4% 13.9%
Swing n/a 7.9 pp 3.4 pp
  Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party
 
Leader Aintzane Ezenarro Unai Ziarreta Javier Madrazo
Party Aralar EA EB–B
Leader since 14 November 2004 16 December 2007 14 May 1994
Leader's seat Guipúzcoa Biscay (lost) Biscay (lost)
Last election 1 seat, 2.3% 7 seats
(PNV–EA)[a] 		3 seats, 5.3%
Seats won 4 1 1
Seat change 3 6 2
Popular vote 62,514 38,198 36,373
Percentage 6.0% 3.6% 3.5%
Swing 3.7 pp n/a 1.8 pp
Lehendakari before election

Juan José Ibarretxe
EAJ/PNV

Elected Lehendakari

Patxi López
PSE–EE (PSOE)

The 2009 Basque regional election was held on Sunday, 1 March 2009, to elect the 9th Parliament of the Basque Autonomous Community. All 75 seats in the Parliament were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with a regional election in Galicia. It would be the first time that the elections for two of the Spanish "historical regions"—namely, those comprising Andalusia, Catalonia, Galicia and the Basque Country itself—were held simultaneously.[1] This would evolve into an unwritten convention in subsequent years, with Basque and Galician elections being held concurrently in 2012, 2016 and 2020.[2]

The 2009 Basque election was the first one to be held without any major electoral candidacy from the abertzale left, after their previous iterations—the Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK) and Basque Nationalist Action (ANV)—had been outlawed in September 2008 because of their reported ties to ETA and the outlawed Batasuna party.[3][4] In early February 2009, two political groupings formed by abertzale left members to contest the election, Demokrazia Hiru Milioi (D3M) and Askatasuna ("Freedom"),[5] were barred from contesting the election by both the Supreme Court and the Constitutional Court.[6][7][8] In response, the abertzale left asked their voters to cast invalid ballots, both in protest to the court rulings and seeking to prevent tactical voting in favour of either Lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe's Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) or Eusko Alkartasuna (EA).[9]

The election resulted in an upset, as Basque nationalist parties lost their parliamentary majority for the first time in 30 years,[10][11][12] paving the way for a non-PNV led government. The Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE) under Patxi López gained seven seats to command a 25-strong caucus, the best historical showing of the party in a Basque regional election. The People's Party (PP), which had switched leaders less than a year before the election as former leader María San Gil quit over disagreements with the national leadership of Mariano Rajoy,[13] had a net loss of two seats from 2005. The new Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) party, founded in 2007 by former PSOE member and regional minister Rosa Díez was able to achieve a breakthrough in Álava and have its regional candidate Gorka Maneiro elected. Meanwhile, PNV's previous coalition partners, Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) and Ezker Batua (EB), suffered a harsh electoral downturn with both their leaders losing their seats and resigning in the aftermath of the election.[14][15]

The PSE formed a minority government with López as the first non-PNV lehendakari since 1979 through a confidence and supply agreement with the PP.[16][17] While both parties had established an uneasy alliance in the Basque Country since the late 1990s despite their overall national rivalry, this would constitute the most relevant agreement reached between both parties at any level of administration.[18]

Overview[edit]

Electoral system[edit]

The Basque Parliament was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of the Basque Country, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Basque Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a lehendakari.[19] Voting for the Parliament was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Basque Country and in full enjoyment of their political rights.

The 75 members of the Basque Parliament were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Álava, Biscay and Gipuzkoa, with each being allocated a fixed number of 25 seats in order to provide for an equal parliamentary representation of the three provinces, as required under the regional statute of autonomy.[19][20]

Election date[edit]

The term of the Basque Parliament expired four years after the date of its previous election, unless it was dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of the Basque Country (BOPV), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 17 April 2005, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 17 April 2009. The election decree was required to be published in the BOPV no later than 24 March 2009, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Parliament on Sunday, 17 May 2009.[19][20]

The lehendakari had the prerogative to dissolve the Basque Parliament at any given time and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a lehendakari within a sixty-day period from the Parliament re-assembly, the Parliament was to be dissolved and a fresh election called.[21]

Lehendakari Ibarretxe had been scheduled to announce a snap election for autumn 2008 following his expected failure in holding a proposed referendum on the Basque Country's political status for 25 October 2008, to be averted by the Spanish government.[22][23][24] The electoral defeat of the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) in the 2008 Spanish general election in the region and internal opposition from the PNV leadership to an immediate election delayed the scheduled snap vote to early 2009.[25][26] Finally on 3 January 2009, Ibarretxe took advantage of Galician president Emilio Pérez Touriño's previous announcement of a Galician election for 1 March to call the Basque election simultaneously, a move which was interpreted by the media and by political parties as intending to caught his political rivals by surprise (particularly, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) and the People's Party (PP), by forcing them to run two simultaneous election campaigns).[1][27][28]

The Basque Parliament was officially dissolved on 6 January 2009 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOPV, setting the election date for 1 March.[29]

Background[edit]

The Ibarretxe Plan, a major proposal by Lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe to reform the 1979 Basque Statute of Autonomy and turn the region into an associated state to Spain as a way to ending the ongoing conflict with the paramilitary ETA group, was brought to a standstill following its parliamentary defeat in a vote in the Congress of Deputies on 1 February 2005 and the subsequent electoral setback of Ibarretxe's coalition in the April 2005 regional election.[30][31][32] On 22 March 2006, ETA declared a "permanent ceasefire" to allow for a peace process to ensue with the Spanish government under then-Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero,[33] but peace talks terminated as a result of the 2006 Madrid–Barajas Airport bombing on 30 December.[34]

Later into the legislature on 28 September 2007, Ibarretxe attempted to revive his statute reform plan by announcing a new "right to decide roadmap" which provided for a referendum on the proposal being held by 25 October 2008, whether it was in agreement with the Spanish government or without it.[35][36][37] The law establishing the legal framework allowing the Basque government to hold the vote was approved by the Basque Parliament in June 2008,[38] but was subsequently suspended and overturned by the Constitutional Court, which ended up ruling that the law and the proposed referendum were unconstitutional.[39][40]

On 31 August 2006, the leadership of Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) had voted for terminating their electoral alliance with the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) ahead of the 2007 foral and local elections, after seven years of collaboration;[41][42] on 10 November 2008, the decision was made irreversible after EA announced its maintainment ahead of the incoming 2009 regional election.[43] The 2007 elections had seen strong gains for the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE) and a decline for the parties supporting Ibarretxe's government, PNV, EA and Ezker Batua (EB),[44][45] a situation confirmed one year later in the 2008 Spanish general election in the region as the PSE–EE emerged as the most voted party with 38.1% and 9 out of 18 Congress seats.[46]

Concurrently, and in application of the 2002 Law of Political Parties—which allowed the outlawing of parties "whose activity violates democratic principles, particularly when it seeks to deteriorate or destroy the regime of freedoms or prevent or eliminate the democratic system by promoting, justifying or exculpating attacks on the life or integrity of people, legitimizing violence as a method to achieve political objectives or politically supporting the action of terrorist organizations to achieve their purposes of subverting the constitutional order"[47][48][49]—the Supreme Court and the Constitutional Court barred several parties from contesting elections because of their reported ties to ETA and the outlawed Batasuna party;[8] namely, the Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK),[4][50] Basque Nationalist Action (ANV),[3][51] several groupings created specifically to contest the 2007 local elections (such as Abertzale Sozialisten Batasuna and Abertzale Sozialistak)[52][53][54] or the 2009 regional election (Demokrazia Hiru Milioi and Askatasuna).[6][7]

Parliamentary composition[edit]

The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the chamber at the time of dissolution.[55]

Parliamentary composition in January 2009[56]
Groups Parties Legislators
Seats Total
Basque Nationalists Parliamentary Group EAJ/PNV 22 22
Basque Socialists Parliamentary Group PSE–EE (PSOE) 18 18
Basque People's Parliamentary Group PP 15 15
Abertzale Left Parliamentary Group PCTV/EHAK 9 9
Basque Solidarity Parliamentary Group EA 7 7
Mixed Group EB–B 3 4
Aralar 1

Parties and candidates[edit]

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[20][57]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances 		Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
EAJ/PNV
List
 Juan José Ibarretxe Basque nationalism
Christian democracy
Conservative liberalism 		38.38%[b] 29 checkY [58]
[59]
EA
List
 Unai Ziarreta Basque nationalism
Social democracy 		checkY [60]
[61]
PSE–EE
(PSOE)
List
 Patxi López Social democracy 22.51% 18 ☒N [62]
[63]
PP
List
 Antonio Basagoiti Conservatism
Christian democracy 		17.27% 15 ☒N [64]
[65]
EB–B
List
 Javier Madrazo Eco-socialism
Social democracy
Democratic socialism 		5.33% 3 checkY [66]
Aralar
List
 Aintzane Ezenarro Basque independence
Left-wing nationalism
Democratic socialism 		2.31% 1 ☒N
UPyD
List
 Gorka Maneiro Social liberalism
Radical centrism 		New party ☒N

Opinion polls[edit]

The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.

Voting intention estimates[edit]

The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 38 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Basque Parliament.

Color key:

  Exit poll

Voting preferences[edit]

The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.

Victory preferences[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the victory preferences for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Victory likelihood[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood of victory for each party in the event of a regional election taking place.

Preferred Lehendakari[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become lehendakari.

Predicted Lehendakari[edit]

The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become lehendakari.

Results[edit]

Overall[edit]

← Summary of the 1 March 2009 Basque Parliament election results →
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes % ±pp Total +/−
Basque Nationalist Party (EAJ/PNV)1 399,600 38.14 n/a 30 +8
Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE (PSOE)) 318,112 30.36 +7.85 25 +7
People's Party (PP) 146,148 13.95 –3.32 13 –2
Aralar (Aralar) 62,514 5.97 +3.66 4 +3
Basque Solidarity (EA)1 38,198 3.65 n/a 1 –6
United Left–Greens (EB–B) 36,373 3.47 –1.86 1 –2
Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD) 22,233 2.12 New 1 +1
The Greens (B/LV) 5,643 0.54 New 0 ±0
For a Fairer World (PUM+J) 3,072 0.29 +0.19 0 ±0
Anti-Bullfighting Party Against Mistreatment of Animals (PACMA/ZAAAA) 1,504 0.14 –0.19 0 ±0
Internationalist Socialist Workers' Party (POSI) 1,178 0.11 –0.08 0 ±0
Family and Life Party (PFyV) 1,052 0.10 New 0 ±0
Humanist Party (PH) 418 0.04 –0.08 0 ±0
Carlist Party of the Basque Country–Carlist Party (EKA–PC) 151 0.01 ±0.00 0 ±0
Communist Party of the Basque Homelands (PCTV/EHAK) n/a n/a –12.35 0 –9
Blank ballots 11,562 1.10 +0.36
Total 1,047,758 75 ±0
Valid votes 1,047,758 91.21 –8.46
Invalid votes 100,939 8.79 +8.46
Votes cast / turnout 1,148,697 64.68 –3.32
Abstentions 627,362 35.32 +3.32
Registered voters 1,776,059
Sources[55][67]
Footnotes:
Popular vote
EAJ/PNV
 
 38.14%
PSE–EE (PSOE)
 
 30.36%
PP
 
 13.95%
Aralar
 
 5.97%
EA
 
 3.65%
EB–B
 
 3.47%
UPyD
 
 2.12%
Others
 
 1.24%
Blank ballots
 
 1.10%
Seats
EAJ/PNV
 
 40.00%
PSE–EE (PSOE)
 
 33.33%
PP
 
 17.33%
Aralar
 
 5.33%
EA
 
 1.33%
EB–B
 
 1.33%
UPyD
 
 1.33%

Distribution by constituency[edit]

Constituency PNV PSE–EE PP Aralar EA EB–B UPyD
% S % S % S % S % S % S % S
Álava 30.0 8 31.2 9 21.1 6 4.3 1 3.5 – 3.3 – 3.9 1
Biscay 41.1 12 30.2 8 13.9 4 4.2 1 2.9 – 3.4 – 1.9 –
Guipúzcoa 36.5 10 30.2 8 10.5 3 10.2 2 5.2 1 3.7 1 1.7 –
Total 38.1 30 30.4 25 13.9 13 6.0 4 3.6 1 3.4 1 2.1 1
Sources[55][67]

Aftermath[edit]

Invalid votes[edit]

After Demokrazia Hiru Milioi (D3M) and Askatasuna ("Freedom") were outlawed in February 2009,[6][7] Basque separatists were asked to cast their vote for D3M, whose ballots would be counted as invalid.[9] According to some sources, the pro-independence Basque left (that were formerly represented by Batasuna and later by EHAK) was surprised by the lower support of their void option. If the void votes are to be counted as the support of this option, it would have obtained the worst results in their history, having received 100,924 void votes, 50,000 less than in the previous regional election and less than half their historical top in the 1998 election.[68]

Major electoral analysis has been performed on the results and the issue of the void votes by pro-Basque nationalist and non-Basque nationalist parties alike. It is a frequent misunderstanding that, had the votes for the illegal lists been counted as valid, they would have been entitled to seven seats.[69] Actually, taking into account that the average of "normal" void votes (struck-out names, double-voting, etc.) in the last three Basque regional elections (1998, 2001 and 2005) was about 0.4%,[68] and assuming that all the void votes that could not be accounted for by that statistic alone were cast for a hypothetical unitary abertzale list (instead of for two different lists, Askatasuna and D3M), those ~97,000 votes would have accounted for at most 6 seats.[70]

Government formation[edit]

The election results saw the Basque Nationalist Party (PNV) of Lehendakari Juan José Ibarretxe securing a clear victory with 38.1% of the vote and 30 seats, but it came at the expense of Ibarretxe's erstwhile allies, Eusko Alkartasuna (EA) and Ezker Batua (EB).[71] Together with Aralar, which had seen a remarkable rise of support in absence of electoral competition from other abertzale left parties—a result of their illegalization because of their ties with ETA and Batasuna[72]—the parties in support of Ibarretxe could only muster 36 out of the 75 seats in the Basque Parliament, against 39 of the combined totals for the Socialist Party of the Basque Country–Basque Country Left (PSE–EE), the People's Party (PP) and Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD), meaning that for the first time since 1979 the possibility existed for a non-PNV lehendakari to be appointed.[73] Upon learning of the results, PP regional leader Antonio Basagoiti proclaimed his satisfaction and announced his support for Socialist Patxi López as new lehendakari,[74][75] who had previously announced that he felt "legitimated to lead the change" and would be running for investiture.[76][77]

As the PNV–EA–EB alliance—in government since 2001—was no longer workable,[78] the PNV attempted to figure out a coalition agreement with the PSE to remain in power,[79] mirroring the historical collaboration that the two parties had maintained from 1986 to 1998,[80][81] and hinting at withdrawing PNV's support to Prime Minister José Luis Rodríguez Zapatero's government in the Cortes Generales if the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) did not back their plan.[82] The PSE rejected supporting a new PNV administration even if Ibarretxe was replaced with a different candidate, conditioning any agreement on Patxi López becoming lehendakari, which the PNV refused.[83][84] Instead, the PSE proposed the formation of a minority cabinet led by López that could be supported by the PP, ruling out a full-fledged coalition.[85][86] Concurrently, the PSOE's national leadership supported López's bid and defended the PSE's autonomy to agree on any pact that their local branch deemed fit, despite the PNV's threat of withdrawing their support nationally.[87][88]

Seeking to provide the new government of parliamentary stability,[89] the PSE and the PP—which had been and still were arch-rivals at the national level—reached an unprecedented confidence and supply agreement on 30 March that would see the Basque nationalists ousted from power after 30 years of uninterrupted government.[17][90][91] The PNV, which had dubbed any such agreement as "legitimate" but as a "fraud to the electorate" and an "act of political aggression",[92][93][94] announced a "harsh" opposition to López's government and vowed to put forth Ibarretxe as their candidate in the investiture session, citing their "right" to head the government as the top-voted party.[95][96] As part of their agreement, the PSE would support PP's Arantza Quiroga as new president of the Basque Parliament and treat the PP as their "preferred" parliamentary partner, whereas the PP would refrain from moving or supporting any vote of no confidence on the new cabinet.[97]

López was elected as new lehendakari on a 39–35 vote in the investiture session held on 5 May 2009,[98] garnering the additional support of the sole legislator from Union, Progress and Democracy (UPyD),[99] and was sworn in two days later.[100] Simultaneously, his political defeat led Ibarretxe to announce his farewell from politics altogether, a move which would allow his party to reorganize itself from opposition hands-free and, eventually, lead to the abandonment of Ibarretxe's sovereigntist plans and discourse.[101]

Investiture
Ballot → 5 May 2009
Required majority → 38 out of 75
39 / 75
 checkY
35 / 75
 ☒N
Blank ballots
1 / 75
Absentees
0 / 75
Sources[55][98]

Notes[edit]

  1. ^ a b Within the PNV–EA alliance in the 2005 election.
  2. ^ Results for PNV–EA in the 2005 election.
  3. ^ a b Within PNV.

References[edit]

Opinion poll sources
  1. ^ "Avance: Programa especial elecciones gallegas y vascas - 01/03/2009". Popular TV (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  2. ^ "El PP arrasa en Galicia y el PSE será clave en Euskadi". RTVE (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  3. ^ "Ibarretxe seguirá siendo lehendakari, según el primer sondeo Ipsos para RTVE". RTVE (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  4. ^ "El PNV lograría entre 30 y 32 escaños y el PSE 26 o 28, según los primeros sondeos". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  5. ^ "Anasagasti avisa: si hay un pacto 'anti-Ibarretxe', el PNV retirará el apoyo al PSOE". Diariocrítico (in Spanish). 1 March 2009.
  6. ^ a b c "Sondeos: todo por resolver". eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com (in Spanish). 21 February 2009.
  7. ^ a b "El PNV volverá a ganar las elecciones del 1 de marzo con el 35% de los votos". Terra (in Spanish). 20 February 2009. Archived from the original on 23 February 2009. Retrieved 10 April 2019.
  8. ^ "Euskaldemoscopia, 19 de febrero". eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com (in Spanish). 19 February 2009.
  9. ^ "El primer lendakari no nacionalista será posible con un pacto PSE-PP". ABC (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  10. ^ "Encuesta. Radiografía del País Vasco". El Mundo (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  11. ^ a b c "La subida de Aralar da la mayoría al nacionalismo". Público (in Spanish). 23 February 2009. Archived from the original on 26 February 2009.
  12. ^ a b c d "Encuestas. Euskal Demoscopia (Del 13 al 20 de febrero de 2009)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 20 February 2009.
  13. ^ a b c d "El PSE tendrá la llave del poder" (PDF). El País (in Spanish). 22 February 2009. Archived from the original (PDF) on 12 April 2012.
  14. ^ "Barómetro TNS para Antena3 y Onda Cero Elecciones Vascas (20-02-09)". YouTube (in Spanish). 20 February 2009.
  15. ^ "Encuestas. Deia (21 de febrero de 2009)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 21 February 2009.
  16. ^ "Encuestas elecciones vascas". PlazaMoyua.com (in Spanish). 17 February 2009.
  17. ^ "Empate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos". El Correo (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  18. ^ "Empate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos" (PDF). El Correo (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  19. ^ "Empate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  20. ^ a b c "Un escaño en el aire separa al PNV y sus aliados de la mayoría absoluta". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
  21. ^ "Elecciones autonómicas - 1 de marzo de 2009. Previsiones de voto" (PDF). Basque Government (in Spanish). 20 February 2009.
  22. ^ "Encuestas diarias hasta el 1 de marzo". eleccionesvascas2009.blogspot.com (in Spanish). 15 February 2009.
  23. ^ "El Pulsómetro: El PNV puede perder el gobierno vasco después de 30 años de hegemonía". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 February 2009.
  24. ^ a b c d e "Encuesta en la Comunidad Autónoma de País Vasco". Cadena SER (in Spanish). 13 February 2009. Archived from the original on 2 March 2009. Retrieved 10 April 2019.
  25. ^ a b c "El desplome del PP sostiene a Ibarretxe". Público (in Spanish). 8 February 2009. Archived from the original on 10 May 2010.
  26. ^ "Encuestas. Público (8 de febrero de 2009)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 8 February 2009.
  27. ^ "Sondeo de NC Report para LA RAZÓN: PSOE y PP se estancan pero podrían gobernar juntos en el País Vasco". La Razón (in Spanish). 9 February 2009. Archived from the original on 12 January 2012.
  28. ^ "Encuestas. La Razón (9 de febrero de 2009)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 9 February 2009.
  29. ^ a b c d e "Preelectoral del País Vasco. Elecciones autonómicas, 2009 (Estudio nº 2784. Enero-Febrero 2009)" (PDF). CIS (in Spanish). 12 February 2009.
  30. ^ "Soso arranque electoral en Euskadi y Galicia". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 13 February 2009.
  31. ^ "Encuestas. Antena 3 y Onda Cero (23 de enero de 2009)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 23 January 2009.
  32. ^ "Encuestas. La Razón (12 de enero de 2009)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 12 January 2009.
  33. ^ a b "Estimaciones Electorales del Euskobarómetro de Noviembre de 2008 para el Parlamento Vasco" (PDF). EHU (in Spanish). 26 December 2008.
  34. ^ a b c d e f "Euskobarómetro. Estimaciones Electorales". EHU (in Spanish). 25 February 2009. Archived from the original on 25 February 2009.
  35. ^ "Encuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (11 de julio de 2008)". Basque Government (in Spanish). 11 July 2008.
  36. ^ "Encuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Noviembre 2007)". Basque Government (in Spanish). November 2007.
  37. ^ "Encuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Mayo 2007)". Basque Government (in Spanish). June 2007.
  38. ^ "Encuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Noviembre 2006)". Basque Government (in Spanish). December 2006.
  39. ^ "Encuestas. Euskobarómetro CPS/EHU (Mayo 2006)". Basque Government (in Spanish). May 2006.
  40. ^ "Empate entre PNV y PSE con un 29% de indecisos" (PDF). El Correo (in Spanish). 22 February 2009.
Other
  1. ^ a b "Ibarretxe solapa las elecciones vascas con las gallegas para debilitar a sus rivales". El País (in Spanish). 3 January 2009. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  2. ^ "Feijóo lanza un adelanto electoral de alto riesgo frente a un PSOE fortalecido desde la Moncloa". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 10 February 2020. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  3. ^ a b "El Supremo ilegaliza ANV y acuerda su disolución". El País (in Spanish). 16 September 2008. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  4. ^ a b "El Tribunal Supremo acuerda la ilegalización del EHAK-PCTV" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 18 September 2008. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  5. ^ "La plataforma abertzale D3M presenta sus candidaturas a las elecciones vascas" (in Spanish). RTVE. 25 January 2009. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  6. ^ a b c "El Tribunal Supremo anula las listas de Askatasuna y D3M". El Mundo (in Spanish). 8 February 2009. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  7. ^ a b c "El Tribunal Constitucional confirma la anulación de las listas de Askatasuna y D3M". El Mundo (in Spanish). 13 February 2009. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  8. ^ a b "Los partidos y marcas de la izquierda abertzale ilegalizadas y la fecha en la que dictó la resolución el TC". Público (in Spanish). 22 May 2009. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  9. ^ a b "La izquierda 'abertzale' votará nulo". El País (in Spanish). 14 February 2009. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  10. ^ "Vuelco electoral histórico en Galicia y en el País Vasco". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  11. ^ "El PNV gana pero los nacionalistas pierden la mayoría". El País (in Spanish). 1 March 2009. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  12. ^ "El Parlamento vasco tendrá, por primera vez en tres décadas, mayoría no nacionalista" (in Spanish). RTVE. 2 March 2009. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  13. ^ "San Gil dimite como líder del PP vasco". El País (in Spanish). 22 May 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  14. ^ "Ziarreta pierde su escaño y cae fulminado tras el gran desastre de EA". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  15. ^ "El descalabro de Ezker Batua se cobra el escaño de Madrazo". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  16. ^ "El PP entrega a Patxi López su apoyo para que presida el Gobierno vasco". El Confidencial (in Spanish). 12 March 2009. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
  17. ^ a b "El pacto del PSE-PP garantiza cuatro años de gobierno de Patxi López". El País (in Spanish). 30 March 2009. Retrieved 9 February 2020.
  18. ^ "Historia de los pactos del PSE y el PP: Juntos, pero no revueltos" (in Spanish). RTVE. 26 March 2009. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  19. ^ a b c Ley Orgánica 3/1979, de 18 de diciembre, de Estatuto de Autonomía para el País Vasco (Organic Law 3) (in Spanish). 18 December 1979. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  20. ^ a b c Ley 5/1990, de 15 de junio, de Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco (Law 5) (in Spanish). 15 June 1990. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  21. ^ Ley 7/1981, de 30 de junio, sobre Ley de Gobierno (Law 7) (in Spanish). 30 June 1981. Retrieved 17 July 2017.
  22. ^ "Ibarretxe anticipará las elecciones si Zapatero recurre su consulta". El País (in Spanish). 26 April 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  23. ^ "Zapatero cierra la puerta al 'plan Ibarretxe' y atisba elecciones". Cinco Días (in Spanish). 21 May 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  24. ^ "La estrategia de Ibarretxe para realizar su consulta" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 23 May 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  25. ^ "El posible adelanto electoral amenaza cuatro proyectos de ley claves del Gobierno vasco". El Correo (in Spanish). 5 May 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
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  27. ^ "Touriño convoca las elecciones para el 1 de marzo". La Voz de Galicia (in Spanish). 18 December 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  28. ^ "Aires de agotamiento". El País (in Spanish). 3 January 2009. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  29. ^ "Decreto 1/2009, de 2 de enero, del Lehendakari, por el que se disuelve el Parlamento Vasco y se convocan elecciones" (PDF). Boletín Oficial del País Vasco (in Spanish) (3). 6 January 2009. ISSN 2483-5366.
  30. ^ "El Congreso rechaza de manera rotunda el 'plan Ibarretxe'" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 1 February 2005. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  31. ^ "Ibarretxe pierde cuatro escaños y su plan soberanista queda condenado al fracaso". El País (in Spanish). 18 April 2005. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  32. ^ "El fracaso del 'plan Ibarretxe'". Cinco Días (in Spanish). 18 April 2005. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  33. ^ "ETA declara un alto el fuego permanente". El País (in Spanish). 22 March 2006. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  34. ^ "Reacciones al atentado de ETA contra la T-4 del aeropuerto de Madrid Barajas". El Mundo (in Spanish). 2 January 2007. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  35. ^ "Ibarretxe propone una consulta en el País Vasco el 25 de octubre de 2008". El Mundo (in Spanish). 28 September 2007. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  36. ^ "El segundo plan Ibarretxe destinado al fracaso ante la enérgica negativa del Gobierno a negociar". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 30 September 2007. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  37. ^ "Spain to block Basque referendum on "right to decide"". The New York Times. 28 May 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  38. ^ "Aprobada la consulta de Ibarretxe en la Cámara vasca". El País (in Spanish). 26 June 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  39. ^ "El Constitucional suspende la consulta de Ibarretxe". El País (in Spanish). 18 July 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  40. ^ "El Tribunal Constitucional declara ilegal la consulta popular de Ibarretxe". El Mundo (in Spanish). 11 September 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  41. ^ "PNV-EA: Termina una coalición de siete años". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 31 August 2006. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  42. ^ "EA rompe su coalición electoral con el PNV y acudirá sola a las municipales". El País (in Spanish). 1 September 2006. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  43. ^ "EA 'rompe' con el PNV y concurrirá en solitario a las próximas autonómicas". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 10 November 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  44. ^ "El PSE considera que los resultados le sitúan como una alternativa al tripartito". El País (in Spanish). 28 May 2007. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  45. ^ "El PSE se refuerza como alternativa". El País (in Spanish). 28 May 2007. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  46. ^ "El PSE se impone como fuerza más votada en el País Vasco, con una abstención del 35%". El Mundo (in Spanish). 10 March 2008. Retrieved 13 February 2020.
  47. ^ Ley Orgánica 6/2002, de 27 de junio, de Partidos Políticos (Law 6) (in Spanish). 27 June 2002. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  48. ^ "El Congreso da un amplísimo respaldo a la Ley de Partidos". El País (in Spanish). 5 June 2002. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  49. ^ "Proceso de ilegalizacion de Batasuna". El Mundo (in Spanish). 1 August 2002. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  50. ^ "EHAK denuncia que su proceso de ilegalización es "una farsa jurídica que responde a la decisión política del PSOE"" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 20 June 2008. Retrieved 12 February 2020.
  51. ^ "El Constitucional avala la ilegalización de ANV dictada por el Supremo". El País (in Spanish). 29 January 2009. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  52. ^ "La policía reconstruye el organigrama oculto de Batasuna para evitar su presencia electoral". El País (in Spanish). 1 April 2007. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  53. ^ "El Constitucional rechaza tramitar el recurso de amparo de Abertzale Sozialisten". El País (in Spanish). 11 April 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  54. ^ "Las marcas de Batasuna". El Mundo (in Spanish). 21 June 2012. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  55. ^ a b c d "Elecciones al Parlamento Vasco / Eusko Legebilitzarra (desde 1980)". Historia Electoral.com (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 December 2023.
  56. ^ "Parliamentarios y Órganos. Grupos. Composición. Históricos - VIII Legislatura". Basque Parliament (in Spanish). Retrieved 24 December 2023.
  57. ^ Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General (Organic Law 5) (in Spanish). 19 June 1985. Retrieved 28 December 2016.
  58. ^ "Juan José Ibarretxe se presentará de nuevo a 'lehendakari'". El País (in Spanish). 28 September 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  59. ^ "Ibarretxe, ratificado como candidato del PNV, exige a ETA "que se vaya"". El País (in Spanish). 20 December 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  60. ^ "Eusko Alkartasuna elige a Unai Ziarreta como nuevo presidente con el 68,5% de los votos" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 16 December 2007. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  61. ^ "Ziarreta será el candidato a lehendakari de EA y la formación trabaja ya en la elaboración de las listas electorales" (in Spanish). Europa Press. 11 November 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  62. ^ "Patxi López: 'El tripartito de Ibarretxe está caducado, agotado, sin ideas ni proyecto'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 May 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  63. ^ "El PSE elige a Patxi López como candidato a 'lehendakari'". El País (in Spanish). 7 May 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  64. ^ "Antonio Basagoiti, elegido presidente del PP vasco con el 82,3% de los votos". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 July 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  65. ^ "El Partido Popular proclama como candidato a lehendakari a Antonio Basagoiti". El Mundo (in Spanish). 24 October 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  66. ^ "Madrazo sale elegido candidato a lehendakari por EB con el 85% de los votos". Diario Vasco (in Spanish). 20 December 2008. Retrieved 14 February 2020.
  67. ^ a b "Election Results Archive". euskadi.eus (in Spanish). Basque Government. Retrieved 24 September 2017.
  68. ^ a b Source: Basque Government electoral results record "Archived copy". Archived from the original on 2008-10-10. Retrieved 2009-04-01.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) "Archived copy" (in Spanish). Archived from the original on 2009-02-03. Retrieved 2009-04-01.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link) "Archived copy" (in Basque). Archived from the original on 2009-03-05. Retrieved 2009-04-01.{{cite web}}: CS1 maint: archived copy as title (link)
  69. ^ Público.es: D3M habría logrado siete escaños Archived March 6, 2009, at the Wayback Machine (in Spanish)
  70. ^ The discrepancy can be understood in terms of the seat allocation method used (the D'Hondt method) and, most importantly, the fact that seats are independently assigned in three 25-seat constituencies. Thus, a party can lose up to three seats by losing a single vote in each constituency.
  71. ^ "Ibarretxe gana sin garantías de gobernar". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  72. ^ "Aralar certifica con creces su éxito electoral al cuadruplicar su peso parlamentario". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  73. ^ "La amarga victoria en las urnas del PNV". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  74. ^ "El PP consigue la palanca del cambio". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  75. ^ "Basagoiti avanza que votará al PSE "si no ha engañado en la campaña"". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  76. ^ "López se postula como 'lehendakari' y espera el voto del PP". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  77. ^ ""Estoy legitimado para liderar el cambio"". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  78. ^ "El tripartito de Ibarretxe se autoliquida". El País (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  79. ^ "El PNV ofrece un pacto de gobierno al PSE pero impone a Ibarretxe como lehendakari". El Mundo (in Spanish). 5 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  80. ^ "Benegas intentó ser 'lehendakari' en 1986, pero no lo logró". El País (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  81. ^ "Ibarretxe dice que el PNV 'seguirá dirigiendo este país, sea desde donde sea'". El Mundo (in Spanish). 12 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  82. ^ "El PNV se pertrecha para un pulso a fondo por Ajuria Enea". El País (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  83. ^ "El PNV ofrece un pacto de Gobierno al PSE, que insiste en que López sea lehendakari" (in Spanish). RTVE. 5 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  84. ^ "El PSE no pactará con el PNV aunque sacrifique a Ibarretxe". El País (in Spanish). 7 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  85. ^ "El PSE, dispuesto a gobernar en solitario en Euskadi". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  86. ^ "López se propone gobernar en solitario". El País (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  87. ^ "Zapatero deja al PSE manos libres para pactar alianzas". El País (in Spanish). 2 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  88. ^ "Zapatero a López: "Adelante, preséntate"". El País (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  89. ^ "PSE y PP, hacia un pacto de estabilidad". El Mundo (in Spanish). 6 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  90. ^ "López asegura que su Gobierno velará por el interés general y no por el del PSE". El País (in Spanish). 29 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  91. ^ "El PP está 'profundamente satisfecho' del acuerdo alcanzado con el PSE". El Mundo (in Spanish). 30 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  92. ^ "El PNV prepara la barricada". La Vanguardia (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  93. ^ "El PNV tilda de 'agresión política' un pacto entre PSE, PP y UPyD". El Mundo (in Spanish). 3 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  94. ^ "Urkullu: un pacto PSE-PP es "legítimo", pero supone un fraude al electorado". Expansión (in Spanish). 11 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  95. ^ "Zapatero ha hablado con la dirección del PNV para aclararle que también se puede estar en la oposición" (in Spanish). Cadena SER. 12 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  96. ^ "Ibarretxe se presentará a la investidura por tener "80.000 razones" más que López". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 24 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  97. ^ "El PP presidirá el Parlamento vasco a cambio de que Patxi López sea lehendakari". 20 minutos (in Spanish). 26 March 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
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  99. ^ "UPyD apoyará la investidura de López "por imperativo ético" ante ETA". El País (in Spanish). 17 April 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  100. ^ "Patxi López ya es lehendakari tras prometer su cargo en Gernika". El Mundo (in Spanish). 7 May 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
  101. ^ "Ibarretxe anuncia que abandona la política". El País (in Spanish). 5 May 2009. Retrieved 16 February 2020.
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